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Applied Random Forest Algorithm for News and Article Features on The Stock Price Movement: An Empirical Study of The Banking Sector in Vietnam Nhat, Nguyen Minh
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 5, No 3: SEPTEMBER 2024
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v5i3.338

Abstract

In 2023, in the context of the world economic and political situation continuing to experience many difficulties and challenges, the global stock market has suffered many unfavorable impacts. In that general context, Vietnam's stock market faces many problems, challenges, and strong fluctuations due to unexpected changes in the world's macro economy and geopolitics. Therefore, the study's goal is to investigate the impact of news articles on the stock price movement of commercial banks in Vietnam. Using a dataset of 94,784 news articles from January 2023 to April 2024 and applying the Random Forest algorithm, the author analyzes the significance of various news features. The study identifies that the proportion of news sources with positive evaluations and the proportion of news sources mentioning commercial banks are the most influential features of the stock price movement. The findings reveal that positive news boosts investor confidence, increasing stock prices, while high media attention significantly influences trading activity. Other notable features include the number of news sources and the total sentiment score of articles, which also play crucial roles. This research provides valuable insights for investors and analysts to understand the effect of news articles on stock prices, enhancing their decision-making process in the banking sector. Finally, the research results are scientific proof that helps the Vietnamese stock market to have more positive and robust changes, continue to be an attractive destination for domestic and foreign investment capital flows, and a channel for medium and long-term capital important term for the economy, making an increasingly more outstanding contribution to the country's socio-economic development in the new era.
Applied Density-Based Clustering Techniques for Classifying High-Risk Customers: A Case Study of Commercial Banks in Vietnam Nhat, Nguyen Minh
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 5, No 4: DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v5i4.344

Abstract

Understanding and effectively engaging with customers is paramount in today's rapidly evolving business landscape. With rapid technological advances, banks have unprecedented opportunities to improve their approach to customer segmentation. This change is driven by integrating resource planning systems and digital tools, enabling a more comprehensive and data-driven understanding of customer behavior. Therefore, the study aims to evaluate the performance of various density-based clustering algorithms in classifying customers at risk of default. The algorithms analyzed include K-Means, DBSCAN, HDBSCAN, and Birch, each offering unique strengths in handling diverse data structures. Using a dataset of 77,272 customers from Vietnamese commercial banks spanning 2010 to 2022, the study rigorously assesses these models based on seven critical metrics: Davies-Bouldin Index, Silhouette Score, Adjusted Rand Index, Homogeneity, Completeness, V-Measure, and Accuracy. The results indicate that density-based methods, particularly DBSCAN and HDBSCAN, excel in identifying high-risk clusters despite challenges in cluster separation and alignment with accurate data distributions. Birch demonstrates superior cluster separation and compactness but requires further refinement for optimal accuracy. The findings underscore the potential of integrating clustering methods into credit risk management frameworks, enhancing financial institutions' predictive accuracy and operational efficiency. This research contributes to the ongoing discourse on practical credit risk assessment tools, providing valuable insights for practitioners in the banking sector. Finally, once segments are identified, banks can tailor marketing messages, product offerings, and customer experiences to better suit each group. This can lead to reduced risk, improved customer satisfaction, higher conversion rates, and ultimately increased revenue and customer segmentation in the context of technology trends is becoming an indispensable part of modern business strategy