Jannah, Berliana
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METODE ENSEMBLE ROBUST CLUSTERING USING LINKS (ROCK) UNTUK PENGELOMPOKAN PERGURUAN TINGGI SWASTA (PTS) DI KOTA SEMARANG Jannah, Berliana; Utami, Iut Tri; Hakim, Arief Rachman
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 12, No 3 (2023): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.12.3.445-452

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to group PTS that have performance achievements in five years, through the quality of Human Resources and Students (Input), the quality of Institutional Management (process), the quality of Short-Term Performance Achievements (Output) and the quality of Long-Term Performance Achievements (Outcome). In addition, it can also be seen from the form of PTS, PTS Accreditation and PTS Research Performance. This PTS grouping uses mixed data, namely numerical data and categorical data. The method used for grouping mixed data is the ROCK ensemble method (Robust Clustering Using Links). The results of clustering numerical data obtained the optimum number of groups 3, on categorical data obtained the optimum group 4. After clustering each type of data and merging and clustering obtained the optimum group 3 with a threshold (θ) is 0.2. The results of each group are: low quality consist of 29 PTS, medium quality consist of 7 PTS, and high quality there is 1 PTS. The results of this research can be used to cluster private universities in Semarang City, so that it can be used as a reference for prospective students in choosing private universities in Semarang, and can be referenced to the Central Java LLDIKTI in determining the quality of private universities in Semarang City.
Modeling Zero-Inflated Poisson Invers Gaussian Regression Bayesian Approach Jannah, Berliana; Wardhani, Ni Wayan Surya; Sumarminingsih, Eni
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 10, No 1 (2026): January
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v10i1.34068

Abstract

Deaths due to dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) remains one of the most pressing public health issues in Indonesia, especially in urban areas such as Semarang City, which has a high population density and diverse environmental conditions that potentially increase the risk of transmission and death from DHF. This study aims to model the number of DHF in Semarang City using a Bayesian-based Zero-Inflated Poisson Inverse Gaussian Regression (ZIPIGR) approach. The research data was obtained from the Semarang City Health Office and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) in 2024, with the response variable being the number of DHF deaths and five predictor variables. The data showed overdispersion and a high proportion of zeros (around 50%), indicating the presence of excess zeros in count data with a small sample size. The Bayesian ZIPIGR method was chosen because it can produce more stable parameter estimates than classical methods such as Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), especially for data with complex likelihood functions, small sample sizes, and many zero values. Parameter estimation was performed using Gibbs Sampling simulation in the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework. The results show that the Bayesian ZIPIGR model performs better than the MLE ZIPIGR model based on the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value. Factors that significantly influence DHF mortality are population density, slum area, and number of health workers. These results confirm that regional density and health worker capacity play an important role in increasing the risk of DHF mortality in urban areas. The developed model has been proven to be highly accurate in modeling count data with excess zero characteristics and makes an important contribution to health policy formulation. In practical terms, this model can be used to improve early warning systems and DHF control strategies in densely populated urban areas such as the city of Semarang.