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THE INFLUENCE OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, IMPORTS AND THE EXCHANGE RATE ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES IN INDONESIA Zulfikar, Zulfikar; Syafira, Syarifah
Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics Vol 7, No 2 (2024): JOURNAL OF MALIKUSSALEH PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jmpe.v7i2.20102

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of gross domestic product, imports and the exchange rate on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia in the short and long term. This research uses secondary data obtained from World Bank publications for 32 years (1991-2022). To achieve the results of this research, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) dynamic model analysis was used using the Eviews program. The results of this research in the short term show that the gross domestic product variable has a positive and insignificant effect, imports have a negative and insignificant effect, while the exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. In the long term, the results of this research show that the gross domestic product and exchange rate variables have a positive and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves, while imports have a negative and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia.
PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA, PRODUKSI, DAN EKSPOR KOMODITAS KARET TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA syafira, Syarifah; suri, Putri Anggreini
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v8i1.24252

Abstract

This research was conducted in Indonesia with the aim of analyzing the influence of interest rates, production and exports of rubber commodities on economic growth in Indonesia. The data used inthis research is time series data over 33 years, from 1990 to 2022. This data was obtained from Food and Agriculture and Word Bank, and analyzed using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM).The research results show that in the long term interest rates and production have a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while rubber commodity exports have a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. In the short term, interest rates have a negativeand significant effect on economic growth inIndonesia, while rubberproduction and exports have a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth in Indonesia.