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MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF REPELLENT EFFECT IN DENGUE TRANSMISSION Handayani, Dewi; Gunadi, Audri Utami; Rachmawati, Ria Nurlita
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 2 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss2pp1037-1052

Abstract

Dengue is a disease caused by the dengue virus, transmitted through the bite of an infected female Aedes aegypti. Dengue virus is a member of the genus Flavivirus, family Flaviviridae. Indonesia is one of the countries with the most dengue cases in Southeast Asia. Therefore, dengue transmission must be controlled to reduce the increase in dengue cases. One of the controls is by using repellents. Repellent is one of the human protection strategies to avoid mosquito bites used by spraying or smearing. This study models dengue transmission by reviewing the effect and control of repellent. A mathematical model of repellent effect and control in dengue transmission uses a SIR compartment model. The SIR model is modified by involving mosquitoes and the human population. Repellent is used in both susceptible humans, infected humans, and recovered humans. Numerical and analytical simulations are conducted to analyze the behavior of each compartment of the mosquito and human populations in dengue transmission. Analytical results show that the factors affecting the spread of infection are the transmission rate of the dengue virus and the loss of human-repellent protection. The transmission rate of dengue virus in the interval increases the infected human by 2.73%, while the rate of loss of human repellent protection in the interval increases the infected human by 0.03%. Optimal control is used to minimize the number of infected humans who do not use repellent. The results of numerical simulations on the optimal control problem show that an increase in the proportion of healthy humans who have campaign effect and use repellent regularly in the range of 14.67% can reduce infected individuals by 0.647%.
CONTROLLING THE BORROWER POPULATION OF P2P LENDING MODELS Gunadi, Audri Utami; Handayani, Dewi
Journal of the Indonesian Mathematical Society Vol. 30 No. 2 (2024): JULY
Publisher : IndoMS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22342/jims.30.2.1778.236-255

Abstract

P2P lending, commonly called online lending, is a service provider institution that provides borrowing and lending services in rupiah currency through an electronic system. The growth of P2P lending has increased rapidly since the pandemic of COVID-19 and led to an increase in the number of borrowers. Meanwhile, crime has also increased as many people can’t repay their loans. The chain of P2P lending must be controlled to suppress the growth of the population of people with online loans. This study constructs two P2P lending models by modifying the Kermack-McKendrick Epidemic Model. The population is divided into three sub populations: potential individuals, borrowers, and payers. Optimal control is used to suppress the population growth of borrower individuals through socialization with potential individuals or people with work potential and providing payment assistance for borrowers. This study constructs several optimal control scenarios for the two P2P lending models. From the comparison of optimal control scenarios, the optimal control recommendations that can suppress the population growth of borrower is to provide socialization to people with work potential and payment assistance for the borrower population.