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Long-Term Changes In Rainfall Under Climate Change In East Nusa Tenggara Province 1971-2020 Wibowo, Ofana Tri; Afghani, Fadhli Aslama; Mashuri, Imawan; Asifin, Hasyid Agha Zuhairul
Sainsmat : Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Vol 13, No 2 (2024): September
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/sainsmat132569172024

Abstract

The current climate change is when the Earth's temperature increases due to increased greenhouse gas concentrations. The increase in greenhouse gasses has the potential to change the global climate system, one of which can impact changes in rainfall patterns. As a result, changes occur in various aspects of the planet, especially the atmosphere's composition, which can affect life on Earth. This study aims to analyze the characteristics of rainfall changes in East Nusa Tenggara Province during the 1971-2020 period. The data used is ERA5 reanalysis data in the form of daily rainfall with a spatial resolution of 0.25° X 0.25° for 50 years in East Nusa Tenggara Province for the period 1971-2020. The results of the analysis show that rainfall in East Nusa Tenggara Province has decreased from 1971-2020, with monthly and seasonal averages per period. The highest average monthly rainfall occurred in period 1 (1971-2000), with an average value of 137,491 mm, while the lowest value occurred in period 3 (1991-2020), with an average value of 125,242 mm. The highest average seasonal rainfall occurred in period 1 (1971-2000) of the DJF season, with an average of 757.19 mm, while the lowest value occurred in period 3 (1991-2020) of the SON season, with an average of 143.69 mm.
Long-Term Changes In Rainfall Under Climate Change In East Nusa Tenggara Province 1971-2020 Wibowo, Ofana Tri; Afghani, Fadhli Aslama; Mashuri, Imawan; Asifin, Hasyid Agha Zuhairul
Sainsmat : Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Vol 13, No 2 (2024): September
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/sainsmat132569172024

Abstract

The current climate change is when the Earth's temperature increases due to increased greenhouse gas concentrations. The increase in greenhouse gasses has the potential to change the global climate system, one of which can impact changes in rainfall patterns. As a result, changes occur in various aspects of the planet, especially the atmosphere's composition, which can affect life on Earth. This study aims to analyze the characteristics of rainfall changes in East Nusa Tenggara Province during the 1971-2020 period. The data used is ERA5 reanalysis data in the form of daily rainfall with a spatial resolution of 0.25° X 0.25° for 50 years in East Nusa Tenggara Province for the period 1971-2020. The results of the analysis show that rainfall in East Nusa Tenggara Province has decreased from 1971-2020, with monthly and seasonal averages per period. The highest average monthly rainfall occurred in period 1 (1971-2000), with an average value of 137,491 mm, while the lowest value occurred in period 3 (1991-2020), with an average value of 125,242 mm. The highest average seasonal rainfall occurred in period 1 (1971-2000) of the DJF season, with an average of 757.19 mm, while the lowest value occurred in period 3 (1991-2020) of the SON season, with an average of 143.69 mm.
Rainfall Conditions When Maden Julian Oscillation Strong and Weak: Temporal Distribution in Jakarta, Bogor, and Tangerang Wibowo, Ofana Tri; Afghani, Fadhli Aslama; Christofelts, John Pieter; Halawa, Jordana Christian
EKSAKTA: Journal of Sciences and Data Analysis VOLUME 5, ISSUE 1, April 2024
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/EKSAKTA.vol5.iss1.art1

Abstract

The Indonesian Maritime Continent has high rainfall variability with one of the causes, namely the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), especially in phases 3, 4, and 5. Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and rainfall have a correlation with one another. Therefore, this study aims to determine the effect of MJO on rainfall conditions in terms of intensity and frequency of occurrence every three months from 2013-2022 in Jakarta, Bogor, and Tangerang. The research method used is descriptive statistical analysis in the form of quarterly rainfall averages and anomalies as well as the Pearson correlation test. The data used is daily rainfall data for the 2013-2022 period. The results of the descriptive analysis show that the highest average rainfall occurs in the DJF period and the lowest is in the JJA period with the anomalies occurring in the DJF and JJA periods. On the other hand, the lowest frequency of strong and weak MJO events occurs during JJA, while the highest occurs during the DJF period. The correlation test conducted between the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and rainfall found that the highest positive correlation value was 0.197073 on MAM and the highest negative correlation on SON was -0.11866, so the relationship is weak.