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All Journal KEK (Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan)
Nizar, Muhammad Afdi
Kementerian Keuangan
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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POTENSI PENERIMAAN PAJAK Nizar, Muhammad Afdi; Purnomo, Kuntarto
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 15, No 2 (2011)
Publisher : Badan kebijakan Fiskal

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31685/kek.v15i2.93

Abstract

This study aims to estimate the size of underground economy activities in Indonesia. Based on the results of these estimates, further calculated the potential tax loss due to the existence of underground economy activities. This study was conducted using quantitative approaches, namely currency demand model which is estimated by ordinary least square (OLS) method. By using time series (quarterly) data period 2000 - 2009 we found that the size of underground economy is about Rpl64, 4 trillion per year on average, equivalent to 6% of GDP. Meanwhile, the potential tax loss due to the activity estimated at Rp20,6 trillion on average per year, or approximately 0.69% of GDP.
PENGARUH DEFISIT ANGGARAN TERHADAP DEFISIT TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DI INDONESIA Nizar, Muhammad Afdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 17, No 1 (2013)
Publisher : Badan kebijakan Fiskal

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31685/kek.v17i1.42

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of budget deficits on the current accounts deficit in Indonesia during 1990 - 2012. Based on quarterly time series data and using VAR model, the results of this study indicate that: (i) a positive effect of the budget deficit on the current account deficit. In the period 1990 - 2012 the effect of budget deficits is relatively small and rapid (one quarter), while in the period 1990-1997 budget deficits had greater influence with a longer duration (a semester) on current accounts deficit, and (ii) the results of this study confirm and in line with the twin deficit hypothesis. Therefore, the government should take concrete steps to reduce imports of oil (fuel). Because of fuel imports potentially add to the current accounts deficit and also the amount of fuel subsidies (and deficit) in the state budget
Co-Authors Purnomo, Kuntarto