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All Journal Prosiding Seminar Nasional Sisfotek (Sistem Informasi dan Teknologi Informasi)
I Gusti Agus Adek Putra Ardiwinata
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Computer Science & IT

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Prediksi Pendapatan Penjualan Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Pada Toko Retail XYZ I Gede Sudiantara; I Made Oka Widyantara; I Gede Iwan Sudipa; I Gusti Agus Adek Putra Ardiwinata
Prosiding SISFOTEK Vol 8 No 1 (2024): SISFOTEK VIII 2024
Publisher : Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia

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Abstract

Revenue is a key indicator in determining a company's financial success, both for identifying potential profits and losses. This predictive model is designed to assist management in developing strategies to increase product sales. Accurate forecasting can provide early warnings regarding the actions store management needs to take. This study employs the Double Exponential Smoothing Brown method with a smoothing parameter alpha (?) of 0.5. The analysis results indicate that the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values range from 0.26% to 4.29%, demonstrating a high level of accuracy. Based on these MAPE results, the predictive model is then implemented into a web-based system. This system allows management to access information anytime and anywhere. Therefore, this prediction system is expected to assist the store in making strategic decisions, particularly in managing and increasing future revenues
Co-Authors I Gede Iwan Sudipa I Gede Sudiantara I Made Oka Widyantara