Shaikh, Zakir Hossen
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DOES COVID-19 AFFECT SHARIAH COMPLIANT STOCK? EVIDENCE FROM SELECTED OIC COUNTRIES Shaikh, Zakir Hossen; Irfan, Mohammad; Nomran, Naji Mansour; Abey, Joji
Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Terapan Universitas Jambi Vol. 8 No. 2 (2024): Volume 8, Nomor 2, December 2024
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/jiituj.v8i2.33159

Abstract

This study aims to examine the movements of Islamic stock markets in ten selected OIC (Organization of Islamic Cooperation) countries in relation to Covid-19 cases, providing a comprehensive analysis of market behavior during the pandemic. The countries—Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Turkey, Indonesia, Oman, Qatar, UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain—were chosen based on their large Muslim populations. Data was collected over a one-year period from January 1, 2020, to January 31, 2021, analyzing the relationship between Covid-19 cases and Islamic stock market indices. The study employed co-integration tests to identify long-term relationships and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to explore short-run dynamics. The co-integration test results show a significant long-run relationship between Covid-19 cases and Islamic stock markets in most of the selected OIC countries. Specifically, the Shariah indices in Pakistan, Bangladesh, Turkey, Qatar, UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain have a positive and significant relationship with Covid-19 cases. Conversely, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and Oman exhibit a negative long-term relationship with Covid-19 cases, suggesting a different market response. These results suggest that countries with diversified economies, particularly those relying on natural resources such as oil and agriculture, were more resilient during the pandemic. This study provides novel insights into the unique responses of Islamic stock markets in OIC countries during the pandemic, highlighting regional differences in market behavior and recovery. It suggests that despite the global economic downturn, OIC countries present attractive investment opportunities, particularly due to their swift recovery and resource-based economies, offering a robust portfolio for investors during crises.
UNDERSTANDING THE ASYMMETRIC EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM INDIA Shaikh, Zakir Hossen; Husain, Shah; Alam, Mohammad Noor; Baig, Imran Ali; Rana, Minakshi
Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Terapan Universitas Jambi Vol. 9 No. 2 (2025): Volume 9, Nomor 2, June 2025
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/jiituj.v9i2.42633

Abstract

This study examines the short-term and long-term relationships between economic growth, exchange rate fluctuations, money supply, and government expenditure in India from 1980 to 2022. The study employs econometric techniques such as unit root tests, Nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model, FMOLS & DOLS tests, and the Granger causality test is used to determine the direction of causal relationships. The data utilized in this study were collected from the Handbook of India’s Statistics (RBI) and World Development Indicators (WDI). The unit root tests indicate mixed order of integration for the selected variables. The results of the NARDL model confirm a long-term relationship among economic growth, exchange rate changes, money supply, and government expenditure. The findings indicate that undervaluation negatively affects economic growth in India, whereas overvaluation promotes it. Furthermore, the analysis reveals an asymmetric impact of exchange rate changes on economic growth. The Wald test further supports the presence of asymmetry in both the short-run and long-run. The causality test results show bidirectional causality between exchange rates, government expenditure, and economic growth, while unidirectional causality runs from money supply to economic growth. Based on the empirical findings, some policy implications may be suggested to the government. The exchange rate-controlling organization should emphasize restoring stability and pursue the establishment of a stronger exchange rate to achieve the goal of sustained economic growth and, ultimately, sustainable development