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FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI VOLUME EKSPOR UDANG PUTIH (PENAEUS INDICUS) INDONESIA KE HONGKONG SERTA IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKANNYA Betrix Silitonga; Manuntun Parulian Hutagaol
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 5 No 1 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (925.733 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.5.1.2016.1-24

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian exports of white shrimp (Penaeus indicus) to Hongkong and to formulate policies that can increase the volume of exports. Ordinary Least Square method (OLS) is used to analyze the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian white shrimp exports to Hongkong by time series data (time series) period of the last 24 years (1990 until 2013). All independent variables that have significant influence on the volume of Indonesian exports of white shrimp, which are: Hongkong population, Hongkong GDP per capita constant 2005, the nominal selling price of white shrimp Indonesia to Hongkong, the nominal selling price of white shrimp competitor to Hongkong, the nominal exchange rate of the Indonesian to Hongkong and Indonesian economic crisis in 1998 (dummy). Key words: Hongkong, Ordinary Least Square (OLS), the export volume, the white shrimp (Penaeus indicus)
Competitiveness of Indonesia’s Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in International Markets: Based on Database 2018 Betrix Betrix; Halimah Cahyaning Fajri; Stanny Sicilia Rawung
Journal of International Conference Proceedings (JICP) Vol 5, No 2 (2022): BEFIC Conference Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v5i2.1677

Abstract

As one of the largest CPO exporting countries in the world, Indonesia has a CPO production that continues to increase every year. Through this study, an analysis of the factors affecting Indonesia's CPO competition in the international market in recent years was carried out. The growth of export volume has a positive and significant influence on the competitiveness of Indonesia’s CPO in the international market, while the selling price and inflation in the main export destination countries show a negative and significant influence on the competitiveness of Indonesia's CPO. Policy that can be taken to continue to be able to improve the competitiveness of Indonesia’s CPO by developing technology so that the quality and efficiency of Indonesia’s CPO production will increase. Increasing production efficiency accompanied by improving CPO quality has the opportunity to reduce Indonesia CPO price, thereby increasing export volumes and increasing the competitiveness of CPO itself. If the competitiveness of Indonesia CPO continues to increase, the world market tends to increase the demand for CPO imports from Indonesia, so that in the long run it has implications for the positiveness of Indonesia trade balance and increased growth Indonesia’s economy.Keywords: CPO, Data Panel, International Market, RCA
China in Terms of Exchange Rate, Inflation and Interest Rate (Based on Database 2018) Betrix Silitonga; Halimah Cahyaning Fajri; Trian Hutaria
Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): April 2023
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fintech.v1i2.4365

Abstract

This research model looks at the long-term relationship between exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) co-integration analysis based on database 2018. This study aims to ensure stability in the exchange regime through the structurally nexus of interest rates and inflation volatility and its targets. The data used is historical data on the country of China from 1987-2017. The results of the estimates show that inflation and interest rates in the previous period had a significant effect on the movement of the Chinese exchange rate, while the movement of the exchange rate of the previous period did not affect the movement of the exchange rate of the next period. Although there is a long-term cointegration between the independent variables, namely interest rates and inflation (CPI) against the dependent variables i.e. exchange rates, the long-term relationship between independent variables does not significantly affect the dependent variables.
Dynamic Revealed Comparative Advantage: Export Potential Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia Database 2018 Betrix Silitonga; Natalia Artha Malau; Garan Paruta; Ivan Hannoeriadi Ardiansyah
Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): April 2023
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fintech.v1i2.4386

Abstract

As the largest CPO exporter country in the world, Indonesia's CPO production is increasing every year. Even though Indonesia's CPO production has increased, Indonesia's CPO has a slow growth rate, low productivity and the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO to destination countries has not increased. The purpose of this research is to analyze the factors that influence the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO and formulate policies that can increase the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO. Quantitative analysis uses Stata 14 along with panel data with the 2018 database. Export volume growth, selling prices, inflation and population growth in importing countries have a negative effect on the competitiveness of CPO export commodities while GDP growth in importing countries and exchange rates have a positive relationship to competitiveness CPO export commodity.
Dampak Penurunan Tarif di Skema Request-Offer Taiwan dan Indonesia terhadap Ekonomi Makro Indonesia: Simulasi GTAP Versi 9 Betrix Silitonga
Khatulistiwa: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Sosial Humaniora Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): Maret : Jurnal Pendidikan dan Sosial Humaniora
Publisher : Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/khatulistiwa.v5i1.6163

Abstract

Cooperation between Taiwan and Indonesia continues and develops in various fields. Taiwan is Indonesia's main trading partner. This research to analyze the impact of Taiwan dan Indonesia cooperation through tariff reductions with pessimistic scenarios (tariff reductions of 50%) and optimistic scenarios (tariff reductions of 95%) on commodities contained in request-offer schemes that are applied reciprocallously in each country (Taiwan and Indonesia). Both scenarios are applied to analyze their impact on Indonesia's macroeconomy which includes welfare, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), government and private consumption, investment, government spending, trade balance, and inflation. The analysis method used is the simulation of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) versi 9 database. Indonesia's welfare, consumption (government and private), investment, government spending, and inflation increased in both tariff reduction scenarios, while Indonesia's trade balance declined in both tariff reduction scenarios. Indonesia needs to increase competitiveness of commodities contained and added value in the Taiwan and Indonesia request-offer schemes to increase the capacity and quality of Indonesia's exports in Taiwan.
Indonesia's International Trade Opportunities (Based on 2019 Taiwan Partner Country Case Studies) Silitonga, Betrix
Indonesian Journal of Interdisciplinary Research in Science and Technology Vol. 1 No. 10 (2023): November 2023
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/marcopolo.v1i10.7042

Abstract

Taiwan began collaborating with Indonesia in 1970. This research aims to analyze opportunities for cooperation between Indonesia and Taiwan using descriptive analysis, namely referring to the identification results of literature studies, scientific studies, theoretical understanding, and information obtained from government websites. During the identification period of the last 10 years (2007-2017), Indonesia's total exports to trading partner countries, namely Taiwan, tended to increase every year, and vice versa, Taiwan's total exports to Indonesia also relatively increased. Indonesia needs to take strategic and proactive policies through efforts to increase the added value and competitiveness of Indonesia's leading sectors and strengthen research cooperation to maximize the absorption of technology transfer from Taiwan.
THE IMPACT OF TARIFF REDUCTIONS IN TAIWAN AND INDONESIA’S REQUEST-OFFER SCHEMES ON INDONESIA'S SECTORAL ECONOMY: GTAP SIMULATION VERSION 9 Silitonga, Betrix
Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi) Vol. 15 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi)
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Ambon

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31959/jm.v15i1.3653

Abstract

Introduction: The trade field between Indonesia and Taiwan, namely cooperation under product tariffs, is increasingly expanding across various sectors. Methods: This study analyzes the impact of Taiwan's and Indonesia's request-offer schemes on Indonesia’s sectoral economic performance, including exports, imports, outputs, and employment opportunities, using GTAP Simulation Version 9.Results: In the GTAP simulation version 9, textiles experienced the largest increases in exports and imports, while non-food products experienced the most significant increase in output. Food products, fishing, and textiles experienced the largest increases in labour demand. Conclusion and Suggestion: Most of Indonesia's bilateral economic and trade cooperation with Taiwan has had a positive influence on Indonesia's sectoral economy. Through their respective roles, including those of the government, stakeholders, companies, investors, and business actors, they can help accelerate Indonesia's sectoral economic growth in the future while maintaining national interests. It is necessary to improve the quality of Indonesia's exports and output through improving the quality of domestic products and empowering Indonesian workers in Taiwan to be more skilled and understand their rights and obligations, as well as providing optimal assistance to strengthen human rights for all Indonesian workers. Keywords: Optimistic Scenario, Pessimistic Scenario, Request-Offer Scheme, Sectoral Economics, Tariff Reduction