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Analysis Of The Influence Of Production, Price, Land Area And Exchange Rates On Indonesian Tobacco Exports Lastri, Lastri; Purba, Elvis F; Sihotang, Jusmer; Laoli, Clear Rita
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Vol 12, No 3 (2024): Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Accredited 3 (SK Dirjen Ristek Dikti No. 158/E/KPT/
Publisher : LPPM Universitas PGRI Sumatera Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22202/mamangan.v12i3.5450

Abstract

Indonesia's tobacco exports are currently experiencing a setback. For this reason, this research uses the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model with variables of production, land area, international prices and exchange rates which influence Indonesian Tobacco Exports both in the short and long term. For the short term, the ARDL model forecasting variables for production, land area, international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports, while for the long term the variables of international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports.