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All Journal RESLAJ: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal
Diana Lestari
Universitas Mulawarman Samarinda
Religion Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Social Sciences

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Analisis Pengaruh Dana Transfer Daerah terhadap Ketimpangan Pendapatan melalui Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kabupaten Kutai Kartanegara Achsani Taqwim Dwi Affan; Juliansyah Roy; Diana Lestari
Reslaj: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal Vol. 8 No. 6 (2026): RESLAJ: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/reslaj.v8i6.12523

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of regional transfer funds on income inequality through economic growth as a mediating variable in Kutai Kartanegara Regency. Using a quantitative explanatory approach, the research employed time-series secondary data for the 2010–2024 period sourced from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the Ministry of Finance. The data were analyzed using path analysis with three regression models and the Sobel test to examine the mediation effect. The results show that regional transfer funds (Revenue Sharing Fund/DBH, General Allocation Fund/DAU, Special Allocation Fund/DAK, and Provincial Financial Assistance) do not simultaneously have a significant effect on economic growth, while economic growth itself has no significant effect on income inequality. In the direct-effect model, DAU significantly widens inequality, whereas DAK significantly reduces it. The Sobel test confirms that economic growth fails to mediate the effect of regional transfer funds on income inequality (all p-values > 0.05). These findings indicate that the relationship between transfer funds and inequality is predominantly direct rather than transmitted through macroeconomic growth, reflecting a structural bottleneck in a resource-dependent region. Inequality reduction must therefore rely on directly targeted, pro-equity fiscal spending rather than aggregate economic growth.
Analisis Pengaruh Belanja Modal Infrastruktur terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Melalui Pertumbuhan Ekonomi sebagai Variabel Intervening di Kabupaten Kutai Kartanegara Faisyal Riza; Juliansyah Roy; Diana Lestari
Reslaj: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal Vol. 8 No. 6 (2026): RESLAJ: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/reslaj.v8i6.12564

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of Regional Infrastructure Capital Expenditure disaggregated into Capital Expenditure on Equipment and Machinery (X1), Buildings (X2), and Roads, Networks, and Irrigation (X3) on the Open Unemployment Rate (Y2) through Non-Mining Economic Growth (Y1) as an intervening variable. The research employs an explanatory associative quantitative method with a Path Analysis approach. Fifteen years of annual time-series secondary data (2010–2024) were collected from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the Regional Financial and Asset Management Agency (BPKAD) of Kutai Kartanegara Regency. The regression results indicate that only Capital Expenditure on Buildings has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Conversely, economic growth has no significant effect on the open unemployment rate, which mathematically invalidates the mediation function in the Sobel Test. This condition provides empirical confirmation of the jobless growth anomaly in a resource-rich region. Another crucial finding shows that Capital Expenditure on Roads, Networks, and Irrigation has a direct, positive, and significant effect on increasing open unemployment, driven by the massive migration influx of job seekers into the buffer zone of the Nusantara Capital City (IKN) that excludes the local workforce. The Government of Kutai Kartanegara Regency is recommended to re-engineer infrastructure procurement contract clauses to mandate local labor absorption and accelerate competence certification for the domestic workforce.
Co-Authors Achsani Taqwim Dwi Affan Faisyal Riza Juliansyah Roy