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All Journal Lontar Komputer: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi
Sri Yulianto Joko Prasetyo
Faculty of Information Technology, Satya Wacana Christian University
Computer Science & IT

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Predicting the Number of Passengers in Public Transportation Areas Using the Deep Learning Model LSTM Joko Siswanto; Sri Yulianto Joko Prasetyo; Sutarto Wijono; Evi Maria; Untung Rahardja
Lontar Komputer : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi Vol 15 No 03 (2024): Vol.15, No. 3 December 2024
Publisher : Institute for Research and Community Services, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/LKJITI.2024.v15.i03.p03

Abstract

Accurate predictions of the number of public transport passengers on buses in each region are crucial for operations. They are required by the planning and management authority for bus public transport. A deep learning-based LSTM prediction model is proposed to predict the number of passengers in 4 bus public transportation areas (central, north, south, and west), evaluated by MSLE, MAPE, and SMAPE with dropout, neuron, and train-test variations. The CSV dataset obtained from Auckland Transport(AT) New Zealand metro patronage report on bus performance(1/01/2019-31/07/2023) is used for evaluation. The best prediction model was obtained from the lowest evaluation value and relatively fast time with a dropout of 0.2, 32 neurons, and train-test 80-20. The prediction model on training and testing data improves with the suitability of tuning for four predictions for the next 12 months with mutual fluctuations. The strong negative correlation is central-south, while the strong positive correlation is north-west. Predictions are less closely interconnected and dependent, namely central-south. With its potential to significantly impact policy-making, this prediction model can increase public transport mobility in each region, leading to a more efficient and accessible public transport system and ultimately enhancing the public's daily lives. This research has practical implications for public transport authorities, as it can guide them in making informed decisions about service planning and resource allocation.
Co-Authors Evi Maria Joko Siswanto Sutarto Wijono Untung Rahardja