Andi Patriadi
Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Surabaya, Indonesia

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Enhanced Artificial Neural Network Model with Feature Importance Analysis for Drainage Infrastructure Cost Prediction in Data-Scarce Regions Rahmat Rahmat; Andi Patriadi; Esti Wulandari
Jurnal Teknik Indonesia Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): Jurnal Teknik Indonesia
Publisher : Publica Scientific Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58860/jti.v5i2.815

Abstract

Accurate cost estimation of drainage infrastructure is a critical challenge in rapidly urbanizing regions, particularly in areas with limited historical project data. In Indonesia, inadequate estimation methods often lead to cost overruns and inefficient budget allocation, highlighting the need for more reliable predictive approaches. This study aims to develop and validate an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for predicting drainage construction costs in data-scarce environments. A quantitative research design was employed using data from 10 drainage projects in South Buton Regency, which were expanded to 150 samples through rule-based data augmentation. The ANN model, based on a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) architecture, was trained and validated using 5-fold cross-validation. Its performance was evaluated using R², MAE, RMSE, and MAPE, and compared with Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Regression (SVR) models. The results demonstrate that the proposed ANN model achieves superior predictive performance, with an R² of 0.9978 and MAPE of 3.04%, significantly outperforming the benchmark models. Feature importance analysis reveals that material-related costs, particularly stone masonry, are the most influential factors in determining total project cost. The model also shows strong generalizability and robustness across datasets. The findings imply that the integration of ANN, data augmentation, and feature importance analysis provides a practical and scalable solution for cost estimation in resource-constrained regions. This research contributes to improving decision-making in infrastructure planning, enhancing budget accuracy, and supporting more efficient and sustainable public investment strategies.
Analysis of the Water Balance of the Prumpung River Area (DAS) in Tuban Regency Using the Thornthwaite-Mather Method Rony Zakariya; Andi Patriadi; Esti Wulandari
Jurnal Teknik Indonesia Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): Jurnal Teknik Indonesia
Publisher : Publica Scientific Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58860/jti.v5i2.817

Abstract

Water is a vital resource whose availability is increasingly uneven due to climate variability, land-use changes, and rising water demand. This condition leads to water surplus during the rainy season and deficit during the dry season, including in the Prumpung Watershed, Tuban Regency. This study aims to analyze the monthly and annual water balance and evaluate the relationship between water availability and water demand in the study area. A descriptive quantitative approach was employed using the Thornthwaite–Mather method, based on rainfall and air temperature data from 2015 to 2024, combined with domestic and non-domestic water demand data for 2024. The results indicate that potential evapotranspiration fluctuates in accordance with air temperature, while actual evapotranspiration is influenced by groundwater availability. Groundwater storage increases during the rainy season and decreases during the dry season. The annual water balance reveals a dominance of deficit conditions in most observation years, although surplus occurs during certain periods. The Prumpung Watershed is vulnerable to water deficits due to uneven rainfall distribution. Sustainable water resource management strategies, focusing on conservation, are required to maintain a long-term hydrological balance.