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Prediksi Harga Emas dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah dengan Pendekatan Estimator Deret Fourier Birespon Wahyuli, Diana; Chamidah, Nur; Saifudin, Toha; Herdianto, Muhammad Hendra
Cakrawala Vol. 19 No. 1: Juni 2025
Publisher : Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Timur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32781/cakrawala.v19i1.777

Abstract

Harga emas dan nilai tukar merupakan indikator ekonomi penting yang berdampak signifikan pada stabilitas ekonomi dan kebijakan moneter. Prediksi yang akurat dibutuhkan untuk mendukung pencapaian Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 8: Pekerjaan Layak dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, terutama dalam menjaga stabilitas pasar keuangan dan pengambilan keputusan berbasis data. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi harga emas dan nilai tukar menggunakan regresi nonparametrik birespon berbasis estimator deret Fourier. Metode ini dipilih karena fleksibilitasnya dalam menangkap pola tanpa asumsi bentuk fungsional tertentu. Data yang digunakan adalah data bulanan harga emas dan nilai tukar di Indonesia yang dibagi menjadi 80% insampel dan 20% outsampel selama periode Januari 2016 hingga Desember 2024, di mana satu variabel prediktor digunakan untuk memodelkan dua respon secara simultan. Model dievaluasi menggunakan Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), dengan hasil sangat akurat, sebesar 1,31%. Model ini mendukung strategi investasi dan kebijakan ekonomi di sektor keuangan.
Implementation of Etlingera Elatior for Unique Branding of Central Sulawesi Batik Motif Ikram; Abdi; Mutmainna, Nurul; Khasmawati, Julia; Wahyuli, Diana; Sudarsana, I Wayan; Junaidi
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 3 (2022)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2022.v2.i3.16240

Abstract

Batik is the art work of the Indonesian people which is a cultural heritage from their ancestors which has become one of the world's recognized cultural heritages. Batik itself has a variety of patterns that are influenced by the customs of the local community and contains deep meaning and philosophy. Endemic flora and fauna are often used as patterns for batik motifs. In the process of forming batik motifs, mathematical knowledge is often required which sometimes appears naturally. Mathematics that is closely related to culture is called ethnomathematics as a branch of mathematics. Ethnomathematics can be used in forming batik patterns, especially fractal forms. A fractal shape is an object that appears to have a symmetric self-resemblance to one another when viewed at a certain scale and is the smallest part of the overall structure of the object. The purpose of this research is to make fractals of local batik motifs from Central Sulawesi using the endemic plant of Bunga Katimong (Etlingera Elatior) with the help of the j-Batik application so that new motifs are obtained to add to the diversity of existing batik motifs. The new batik motifs produced in this research are Katimong, Kantan, Kincung and Honje.