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Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Negara ASEAN Rambe, Nurul Hidayah; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario; Suhaimi, Syech
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 16 No 2 (2025): JSEB
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jseb.v16i2.10913

Abstract

The research uses a quantitative approach with the Vector Error Correction Model as a data analysis method. The short-term and long-term results of this study show that changes in the exchange rate throughout the previous period have a positive but insignificant effect on inflation. Inflation is significantly affected by changes in the unemployment rate from the previous period, which has a positive short-term effect. However, the long-term estimation results show that adjustments to the unemployment rate from the previous era have a negative but insignificant effect on inflation. In the previous era, changes in the money supply level have no effect on inflation but have a negative short-term effect. Changes in oil subsidies during the previous era have a negative short-term effect and significantly affect inflation.