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Indonesian Consumer Price Index Forecasting Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Ishak, Shahnaz Salsabila; Abednego, Michael; Sari, Dian Maya; Sabila, Viyonisa Syafa; Khoirunnisa, Khoirunnisa; Alvionita, Mika; Muthoharoh, Luluk
International Journal of Electronics and Communications Systems Vol. 3 No. 1 (2023): International Journal of Electronics and Communications System
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24042/ijecs.v3i1.18252

Abstract

The Consumer Price Index is one of the indicators used to confirm financial success in inflation management. This study aims to help determine the CPI prediction value in Indonesia for the next twelve periods in a month using the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) method using the data from January 2015 to March 2022. The results obtained show that the best model that can be used for forecasting is the ARIMA model (2,1,2) with drift with Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) values of 2190.84. The results of Indonesia's accurate CPI forecasting can be used to assess inflation management for policymaking in the context of controlling inflation.It can be concluded that Based on the analysis, the optimal ARIMA model for forecasting Indonesia's CPI is ARIMA (2,1,2) with drift, aiding in evaluating inflation management for policymaking
Tinjauan Pustaka Ocular Complications of Mpox: Epidemiologi, Diagnosis, dan Managemen Anugrahsari, Santi; Abednego, Michael; Valentino, Raphael
Jurnal MedScientiae Vol 5 No 2 (2026): August
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Krida Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36452/jmedscientiae.v5i2.4365

Abstract

Mpox is a zoonotic disease caused by the monkeypox virus (MPXV) and can cause a variety of potentially sight-threatening ocular manifestations. This literature review aims to summarize the current scientific evidence regarding the epidemiology, clinical manifestations, diagnosis, and management of ocular complications in Mpox. The study was conducted using a narrative literature review method, reviewing various relevant scientific publications, including literature reviews, case reports, case series, cohort studies, and experimental studies. The review results indicate that ocular involvement in Mpox has a broad spectrum, ranging from blepharitis, conjunctivitis, and keratitis to severe complications such as uveitis, sclerokeratouveitis, symblepharon, and corneal damage that can lead to permanent visual impairment. Keratitis is the complication that poses the greatest risk to the visual prognosis, especially in immunocompromised patients. Diagnosis requires high clinical vigilance and can be confirmed through polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing of skin lesions or ocular samples. Management includes systemic and topical antiviral therapy, such as tecovirimat, trifluridine, and cidofovir, along with supportive therapy as needed. Early detection and appropriate treatment are crucial to prevent serious complications and preserve the patient's vision