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Journal : Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics

Back Matter Vol 2 No 2 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 2, No 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v2i2.38496

Abstract

Back Matter Vol 4 No 2 2021 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 4, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v4i2.56840

Abstract

Peramalan Banyak Pengunjung Pantai Pandasimo Bantul Menggunakan Regresi Runtun Waktu dan Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Exogenous Tito Tatag Prakoso; Etik Zukhronah; Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 4, No 1 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v4i1.45795

Abstract

Forecasting is a ways to predict what will happen in the future based on the data in the past. Data on the number of visitors in Pandansimo beach are time series data. The pattern of the number of visitors in Pandansimo beach is influenced by holidays, so it looks like having a seasonal pattern. The majority of Indonesian citizens are Muslim who celebrate Eid Al-Fitr in every year. The determination of Eid Al-Fitr does not follow the Gregorian calendar, but based on the Lunar calendar. The variation of the calendar is about the determination of Eid Al-Fitr which usually changed in the Gregorian calendar, because in the Gregorian calendar, Eid Al-Fitr day will advance one month in every three years. Data that contain seasonal and calendar variations can be analyzed using time series regression and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Exogenous  (SARIMAX) models. The aims of this study are to obtain a better model between time series regression and SARIMAX and to forecast the number of Pandansimo beach visitors using a better model. The result of this study indicates that the time series regression model is a better model. The forecasting from January to December 2018 in succession are 13255, 6674, 8643, 7639, 13255, 8713, 22635, 13255, 13255, 9590, 8549, 13255 visitors.Keywords: time series regression, seasonal, calendar variations, SARIMAX, forecasting
Front Matter Vol 1 No 1 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 1, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v1i1.24684

Abstract

Front Matter Vol 3 No 1 2020 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 3, No 1 (2020)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v3i1.43192

Abstract

Front Matter Vol 4 No 1 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 4, No 1 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v4i1.51602

Abstract

Back Matter Vol 1 No 1 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 1, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v1i1.24686

Abstract

Back Matter Vol 3 No 1 2020 Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 3, No 1 (2020)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v3i1.43193

Abstract

Analisis Cluster Intensitas Kebencanaan di Indonesia Menggunakan Metode K-Means Hafiz Yusuf Heraldi; Nabila Churin Aprilia; Hasih Pratiwi
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 2, No 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v2i2.34911

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the most prone countries to natural disasters in the world because of the climate, soil, hydrology, geology, and geomorphology. There are many different natural disasters, but the three most common natural disasters in Indonesia are flood, landslide, and tornado. This research aimed to cluster the provinces in Indonesia based on the flood, landslide, and tornado’s intensity in 2018. The results of clustering by K-Means method in this research divided the provinces in Indonesia into four clusters. The second cluster contained West Java, Central Java, and Bali, the third cluster contained DKI Jakarta, the fourth cluster contained DI Yogyakarta, and the first cluster contained the other 29 provinces. The result of this research hopefully can help the government in order to make decision and improve the natural disaster management system, such as preparedness, disaster response, and disaster recovery based on the most common disaster in each province. Furthermore, the society is expected to be more aware on natural disaster management based on the most common natural disaster in province that they lived.Keywords : natural disaster, cluster, k-means
A Robust Regression by Using Huber Estimator and Tukey Bisquare Estimator for Predicting Availability of Corn in Karanganyar Regency, Indonesia Hasih Pratiwi; Yuliana Susanti; Sri Sulistijowati Handajani
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 1, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v1i1.24090

Abstract

Linear least-squares estimates can behave badly when the error distribution is not normal, particularly when the errors are heavy-tailed. One remedy is to remove influential observations from the least-squares fit. Another approach, robust regression, is to use a fitting criterion that is not as vulnerable as least squares to unusual data. The most common general method of robust regression is M-estimation. This class of estimators can be regarded as a generalization of maximum-likelihood estimation. In this paper we discuss robust regression model for corn production by using two popular estimators; i.e. Huber estimator and Tukey bisquare estimator.Keywords : robust regression, M-estimation, Huber estimator, Tukey bisquare estimator