Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Jatilima : Jurnal Multimedia Dan Teknologi Informasi
Prayetno, Rafika Sari
Unknown Affiliation
Computer Science & IT

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Comparison of the Cheng and Lee Fuzzy Time Series Methods for Predicting Clean Water Supply in Asahan Regency Prayetno, Rafika Sari; Rakhmawati, Fibri
Jurnal Multimedia dan Teknologi Informasi (Jatilima) Vol. 7 No. 03 (2025): Jatilima : Jurnal Multimedia Dan Teknologi Informasi
Publisher : Cattleya Darmaya Fortuna

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54209/jatilima.v7i03.1631

Abstract

This study compares the performance of the Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) Cheng and Lee methods in forecasting the distribution, production, and sales of clean water at Perumda Tirta Silaupiasa, Asahan Regency. The research utilized monthly secondary data from January 2023 to April 2025. Data analysis was conducted using R-Studio software, and forecasting accuracy was evaluated through the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results show that both methods achieved a high level of accuracy, with MAPE values below 3%. However, the Cheng method consistently outperformed the Lee method, recording MAPE values of 2.28% (distribution), 1.59% (production), and 1.63% (sales), while the Lee method produced slightly higher values of 2.45%, 1.83%, and 1.77% for the same variables. These findings demonstrate that the Cheng method is more adaptive in capturing fluctuations in clean water data, especially during periods of sudden changes. This research provides practical recommendations for improving clean water supply management in regions with dynamic operational conditions
Co-Authors Rakhmawati, Fibri