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Soleiman, Hifaa Yousif
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION FORECASTS IN IRAQ FOR THE PERIOD (1984-2022) USING ARIMA TIME SERIES MODELS Soleiman, Hifaa Yousif
Journal of Economic and Economic Policy Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Publisher : PT. Antis International Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61796/ijecep.v3i1.86

Abstract

Objective:  This study predicted natural gas production in Iraq for the period (1984–2022) using ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) time series models. Method: The research relied on historical data of gas production to build a model capable of forecasting future trends, while analysing seasonal fluctuations and patterns. Result: The results demonstrated the efficiency of the ARIMA model in estimating future production based on past data patterns. Novelty: This study contributes to optimal planning for the exploitation of natural resources in Iraq.
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