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All Journal JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat (J-AbMas)
Prastya, Ifnu Wisma Dwi
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Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mechanical Engineering Social Sciences

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Journal : JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING

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Indonesian Gold Price Forecasting Using Simple and Stacked LSTM with Expanding Window Lambang, Rahmat Tegar Patriot Hari; Prastya, Ifnu Wisma Dwi; Barata, Mula Agung Barata
Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): February 2026
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jaic.v10i1.12148

Abstract

This study investigates the performance of two deep learning architectures, namely Simple LSTM and Stacked LSTM, for Indonesian gold price forecasting, with a particular focus on evaluating the effect of optimizer selection and learning rate configurations. An experimental framework is implemented using daily Indonesian gold price data from 2021 to 2024. Model performance is assessed using five-fold expanding window time series cross-validation to ensure robustness and avoid data leakage. Four adaptive training optimizers (Adam, Nadam, Adamax, and RMSprop) are evaluated across three learning-rate settings as part of a systematic sensitivity analysis of training hyperparameters. The results indicate that the Simple LSTM consistently outperforms the Stacked LSTM. The best performance is achieved by the Simple LSTM using the Adam optimizer with a learning rate of 0.01, yielding an RMSE of 9.235, MAE of 7.060, and MAPE of 0.71%. These findings demonstrate that simpler architectures combined with appropriate training configurations can provide superior forecasting accuracy for volatile financial time series.
Sentiment Analysis of the Free Nutritious Meal Program (MBG) on Social Media X (Twitter) Using K-Nearest Neighbor and Artificial Neural Network Hakim, Fernanda Amri; Prastya, Ifnu Wisma Dwi; Budiani, Jauhara Rana
Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): February 2026
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jaic.v10i1.12205

Abstract

The Free Nutritious Meal Program (Makan Bergizi Gratis/MBG) is a national policy initiated by the Indonesian government to improve public nutritional status, particularly among children and vulnerable groups. Since its implementation, the program has generated extensive public discussion on social media, reflecting diverse opinions, support, and criticism. This study aims to analyze public sentiment toward the MBG program on social media X (Twitter) using machine learning-based text classification methods. A total of 9,038 Indonesian-language tweets were collected and processed through text preprocessing, semi-automatic sentiment labeling with manual validation, and feature extraction using the Term Frequency–Inverse Document Frequency (TF–IDF) method. Sentiments were classified into three categories: positive, neutral, and negative. The performance of K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and ANN with class balancing using Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (ANN + SMOTE) was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics supported by confusion matrix analysis. The results indicate that the ANN + SMOTE model achieved the highest performance with an accuracy of 93.58%, outperforming ANN (92.59%) and KNN (86.28%). The sentiment distribution indicates that public opinion toward the MBG program is predominantly neutral (52.1%), followed by positive (40.0%) and negative (7.9%) sentiments. These findings suggest that while the MBG program is generally well received, negative sentiments provide important feedback related to program implementation and governance.
Co-Authors Barata, Mula Agung Barata Hakim, Fernanda Amri Jauhara Rana Budiani, Jauhara Rana Lambang, Rahmat Tegar Patriot Hari Pribadi , Teguh Sanjaya, Ucta Pradema suudin aziz