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All Journal Jurnal Sustainable: Jurnal Hasil Penelitian dan Industri Terapan
Apriliyani, Nora
Fakultas Teknik Universitas Maritim Raja Ali Haji
Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

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Aplikasi Peramalan Jumlah Siswa Sekolah Dasar di Kabupaten Tanah Laut Menggunakan Metode Holt’s Double Exponential Smoothing Apriliyani, Nora; Rhomadhona, Herfia; Permadi, Jaka
Jurnal Sustainable: Jurnal Hasil Penelitian dan Industri Terapan Vol 7 No 2 (2018): Jurnal Sustainable: Jurnal Hasil Penelitian dan Industri Terapan
Publisher : Fakultas Teknik Universitas Maritim Raja Ali Haji

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (453.963 KB) | DOI: 10.31629/sustainable.v7i2.623

Abstract

Learning processes in the elementary schools at Tanah Laut District is affected by the number of students. Through the number of students can be predicted how much the need of additional teachers, rooms, textbooks and learning medias that support learning processes in the schools. In other words, the infrastructure of the schools can be predicted by the number of students that is registered in Tanah Laut District. The research use Holt’s Double Exponential Smoothing method to predicting the number of the prospective students in Tanah Laut District. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) technique is used to calculate the percentage of error from the forecasting’s result. The system is designed by Entity Relationship Diagram (ERD) and Data Flow Diagram (DFD). The forecasting that have been done said that the number of Tanah Laut’s elementary school students at 2018 is 35655 students, with the value of MAPE is about 0.77%, α = 0.77 and β = 0.8.
Co-Authors Herfia Rhomadhona Jaka Permadi