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Prediksi Beban Listrik Jangka Pendek dengan Metode Arimax dan Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation di Gardu Induk Metro Huda, Zulmiftah; khairudin; Lukmanul Hakim; Riyanto, Dwi Agus
Electrician : Jurnal Rekayasa dan Teknologi Elektro Vol. 16 No. 3 (2022)
Publisher : Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/elc.v16n3.2318

Abstract

Kebutuhan listrik yang selalu meningkat baik domestik, komersil maupun industri membutuhkan pelayanan yang baik dan berkualitas, peningkatan kebutuhan listrik banyak dipengaruhi oleh meningkatnya populasi penduduk, perkembangan sektor industri dan pola hidup masyarakat. Perubahan temperature udara panas juga mempengaruhi pola masyarakat untuk menggunakan Air Conditioner (AC) sebagai alat pendingin ruangan. Kebutuhan listrik tersebut harus didukung dengan prediksi beban yang tepat dan penjadwalan pembangkitan yang sesuai dengan kebutuhan. Penelitian ini melakukan prediksi beban listrik jangka pendek menggunakan metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous Variable (ARIMAX) di Gardu Induk Metro. Data yang digunakan berupa data historikal beban listrik dan temperatur udara selama periode 6 bulan dan 2 tahun untuk mendapatkan hasil prediksi pada satu minggu terahir. Berdasarkan hasil yang diperoleh bahwa prediksi beban listrik jangka pendek menggunakan metode ARIMAX data historis selama 2 tahun menghasilkan nilai Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) sebesar 7,5 persen, hasil lebih baik dibandingkan hasil prediksi dengan data historis 6 bulan yang menghasilkan MAPE sebesar 13,6 persen.
Rebranding Agrowisata Kebun Herbal Kesuma Bangsa Menjadi Eduagrowisata Ramah Keluarga Arman, Feti; Riyanto, Dwi Agus; Rahman, Taufik
Jurnal Pengabdian Nasional (JPN) Indonesia Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): Januari
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat (LPPM) STMIK Indonesia Banda Aceh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63447/jpni.v7i1.1690

Abstract

Limited equipment and limited skills are hindering the promotion of the Kesuma Bangsa Herbal Garden Agrotourism. Lack of knowledge of modern production techniques and efficient practices leads to low capacity. Furthermore, inconsistent quality is a challenge due to inefficient introduction and marketing. The lack of a clear and measurable business plan, particularly in terms of manual financial record-keeping, poses a risk of errors in cash management, which ultimately negatively impacts business sustainability. Limited knowledge of marketing and promotion, limited access to markets and distribution networks, and less than optimal use of digital marketing methods. Consequently, the Kesuma Bangsa Herbal Garden Agrotourism market access is limited. Through this community service, the Kesuma Bangsa Herbal Garden Agrotourism market will be expanded not only locally but also nationally. The Kesuma Bangsa Herbal Garden Agrotourism still faces limitations in digital marketing, particularly in understanding information technology that can be used to improve its business. This limitation impacts partners' lack of digital marketing skills. The Kesuma Bangsa Herbal Garden Agrotourism product lacks a clear branding strategy to differentiate its products in the market. This makes it difficult for the business to grow and compete, especially with other MSMEs that already have their own unique offerings. The problem formulation must be stated concretely and clearly in the introduction. Explain the objectives to be achieved through the community service activities with measurable and realistic targets. Also outline the expected benefits of the community service activities for both the target audience and the development of knowledge.