Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal JSEH (Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi dan Humaniora)
Rahayu Dwiastuti Pujiningrum
Unknown Affiliation
Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Social Sciences Other

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Peramalan Tingkat Penghunian Kamar Hotel Bintang Lima Provinsi Bali Menggunakan Metode ARIMA dan Fuzzy Time Series Lee Rahayu Dwiastuti Pujiningrum; Sulistijanti, Wellie
JURNAL SOSIAL EKONOMI DAN HUMANIORA Vol. 10 No. 2 (2024): JURNAL SOSIAL EKONOMI DAN HUMANIORA
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jseh.v10i2.520

Abstract

This research focuses on forecasting the Occupancy Rate of five-star hotels in the Province of Bali. The increase in Occupancy Rate directly impacts the increase in the number of hotel rooms, which is a key factor for Bali Province as a leading tourist destination in Indonesia and globally. The data used spans from November 2021 to November 2023, with the methods employed being ARIMA with a model of (1,1,1) and Fuzzy Time Series Lee. After conducting the research, the accuracy of the forecast is evaluated through Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The MAPE for ARIMA (1,1,1) is found to be 71.4413, while the Fuzzy Time Series Lee method yields a MAPE of 1.1778. With a significantly lower MAPE, the Fuzzy Time Series Lee method is considered more accurate in forecasting the Occupancy Rate of five-star hotels in the Province of Bali for the December 2023 period, with a forecast result of 70.4033%.
Co-Authors Sulistijanti, Wellie