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Analyzing Transaction Fee Patterns and Their Impact on Ethereum Blockchain Efficiency Salem, Abdel Badeeh M; Aqel, Musbah J.
Journal of Current Research in Blockchain Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): Regular Issue December 2025
Publisher : Bright Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jcrb.v2i4.46

Abstract

Transaction fees play a crucial role in determining the efficiency and scalability of blockchain networks, particularly in Ethereum, where gas fees fluctuate significantly due to network congestion and competitive bidding. This study analyzes transaction fee patterns in the Ethereum blockchain and their impact on network efficiency by examining key blockchain metrics such as block density, transaction size, and transaction fee variability. The findings indicate that the mean transaction fee is 0.0342 ETH, with a median of 0.0008 ETH, demonstrating significant fee variability. The study also finds a strong positive correlation (r ≈ 0.75, p < 0.01) between transaction fees and block density, as well as a moderate correlation with transaction size (r ≈ 0.58, p < 0.01), highlighting the direct impact of network congestion on fee structures. Time series forecasting with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models reveals cyclical trends in transaction fees, often influenced by major network activities such as NFT releases, DeFi protocol surges, and high-frequency trading. The LSTM model achieves a lower RMSE (0.09) compared to ARIMA (0.15), demonstrating its superior predictive capability for fee trends. Additionally, anomaly detection techniques identify outlier transactions with fees exceeding 2.5 ETH, often associated with front-running strategies, priority gas auctions (PGA), and inefficient smart contract executions. Despite improvements introduced by EIP-1559, the findings indicate that Ethereum’s transaction fee market remains highly volatile, with block density fluctuating between 512.0% and 3896.0%, causing extreme fee spikes during congestion periods. The presence of large transactions (maximum size: 250 bytes) further amplifies fee inefficiencies, reinforcing the need for improved scalability solutions. This study underscores the necessity of Layer-2 rollups, dynamic block size adjustments, and more adaptive fee mechanisms to enhance blockchain efficiency. Future research should explore comparative studies across blockchain networks, advanced predictive modeling techniques, and the role of miner extractable value (MEV) in transaction ordering fairness. The study’s insights provide valuable guidance for developers, users, and policymakers aiming to optimize Ethereum’s transaction fee structure and enhance overall blockchain performance.
Causal Relationship Between AI R&D Investment and Stock Market Performance Using VAR and Granger Causality Models Salem, Abdel Badeeh M.; Aqel, Musbah J.
Journal of Digital Market and Digital Currency Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Regular Issue March 2026
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jdmdc.v3i1.54

Abstract

This study investigates the causal relationship between Artificial Intelligence (AI) R&D investment and stock market performance using a time-series econometric framework. Drawing on data from AI-driven firms between 2015 and 2024, the research applies Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Granger Causality models to explore whether innovation spending influences short-term financial outcomes. The analysis employs monthly aggregated data on AI R&D Spending and Stock Market Impact, supported by correlation analysis, impulse response estimation, and forecast error variance decomposition. The results indicate that AI R&D investment and market performance exhibit no statistically significant short-term causal linkage, as confirmed by non-significant Granger p-values (p > 0.05) and weak correlation (r = 0.13). The Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows a transient positive effect of R&D shocks on stock performance, peaking at approximately +0.12% before dissipating after the fourth period. Meanwhile, the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) reveals that more than 99% of the variance in R&D spending is explained by its own historical dynamics, suggesting minimal feedback from market reactions. These findings collectively imply that AI R&D investments operate on a long-term strategic horizon, while financial markets react within short-term informational cycles, creating a temporal disconnect between innovation effort and market recognition. The study contributes to the literature on innovation-finance dynamics by providing empirical evidence that technological progress and financial valuation evolve asynchronously, reflecting their inherently different timeframes and behavioral logics.