Zuher Syihab
Institut Teknologi Bandung

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Case Study of Heterogeneity Index’s Effect on The Successful Workover Based on The Apriori Algorithm Fahrizal Maulana; Amega Yasutra; Zuher Syihab
Scientific Contributions Oil and Gas Vol 48 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Testing Center for Oil and Gas LEMIGAS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29017/scog.v48i1.1658

Abstract

The Indonesian government has set a target to reduce the consumption-production gap by increasing national oil production to 1 million barrels of oil per day (BOPD) and 12 billion standard cubic feet per day (BSCFD) of gas by 2030. Amongst several approaches, the optimization of mature fields offers a significant opportunity for quick production gains. However, analyzing these fields presents challenges due to the complexity, incompleteness, and poor quality of historical data. Heterogeneity Index (HI) is one of the methods that quickly measure well performance. This method is as simple as measuring a certain well as compared to the average performance at certain time. The parameter being used might vary, but production data is the most frequent one given its availability. Despite simple and practical, skepticism on the reliability of this method is still questionable. This work revisited "XYZ" field consisting of XX wells producing more than 32 years with hundreds of workovers. We brought evidences and insights on how HI leads to the workover success from. Apriori algorithm, an Association Rule Mining (ARM) technique, is employed to uncover rules from the noisy data. The results show that workover on wells with low HI mostly leads to success. Another insight is that of scale treatment is the most influential one in determining the success. Given these findings, the flow efficiency is the issue that should be well treated and HI is representative enough to measure this one.
A Hybrid Probabilistic-Backpropagation Neural Network Solver for Nonlinear Systems in Reservoir Simulation Adrianto; Zuher Syihab; Sutopo; Taufan Marhaendrajana
Scientific Contributions Oil and Gas Vol 48 No 3 (2025)
Publisher : Testing Center for Oil and Gas LEMIGAS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29017/scog.v48i3.1751

Abstract

Reservoir simulation requires solving large, sparse systems of nonlinear equations, where iterative Krylov subspace solvers such as the conjugate gradient (CG), stabilized conjugate gradient (BiCG-STAB), and generalized minimal residual (GMRES) are widely applied. However, these methods often have limitations in terms of their stability and accuracy in nonlinear systems. This paper introduces a hybrid probabilistic backpropagation neural network (Prob-BPNN) solver that integrates neural-network-based initialization with probabilistic inference to improve robustness. The solver was benchmarked against CG, BiCG-STAB, and GMRES using two synthetic reservoir models with the GMRES solution at a tolerance of 10-10, serving as the reference solution. The results show that Prob-BPNN consistently achieved production profiles closely matching the reference solution, with errors of MAE ≤ 0.066, RMSE ≤ 0.071, MAPE ≤ 2.04%, and R2 ≥ 0.945. In contrast, CG and BiCG-STAB produced unstable and nonphysical results, with errors exceeding 292% and negative R2 values. In terms of computational performance, Prob- BPNN required 9.96 s in Case 1 and 45.90 s in Case 2, compared to 2.85 s and 1.53 s for GMRES, respectively. Although more computationally expensive, Prob-BPNN delivered convergence on the same residual order of magnitude (below 10-3) as GMRES while avoiding the severe instabilities observed in CG and BiCG-STAB. These findings indicate that the Prob-BPNN is preferable in applications where solver robustness and accuracy are critical, even at the expense of a higher execution time. Future research should focus on reducing computational overhead through parallelization and hybridization strategies to enhance the scalability of large-scale reservoir models.