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Analisis Pengaruh Faktor Fundamental dan Makroekonomi terhadap Harga Saham Subsektor Makanan dan Minuman yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode tahun 2020-2024 dengan Inflasi sebagai Variabel Moderasi Laila Safitri, Dina Destia; Jati Kusuma, Pradana; Whini Setyahuni, Suhita; Kurniawan, Rudi
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v7i1.10989

Abstract

This study examines the effect of fundamental factors (ROA, DER, CR, PBV, EPS) and macroeconomic factors (exchange rates, interest rates) on stock prices of food and beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2020–2024, with inflation as a moderating variable. Using a quantitative approach and secondary data from financial statements and macroeconomic sources, the sample comprises 20 companies (100 observations). Results show that EPS and PBV have a positive and significant effect on stock prices, while ROA, DER, CR, exchange rates, and interest rates are not significant. Inflation moderates the relationship between ROA and PBV with stock prices, but not for other variables. The findings indicate that profitability and market valuation are the main factors considered by investors, while inflation plays a selective role.
Managerial Ownership as a Moderator of Financial Performance and Capital Structure in Enhancing Firm Value Marshal Attarik, Muhammad; Puspitasari, Diana; Nur Chasanah, Amalia; Jati Kusuma, Pradana
Journal Economic Business Innovation Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): April
Publisher : Inovasi Analisis Data

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.69725/jebi.v3i1.341

Abstract

Purpose—This study investigates the joint and conditional effects of financial performance and capital structure on firm value, while critically examining the moderating role of managerial ownership within an emerging market context. Design/methodology/approach—Grounded in agency theory and signaling theory, this study employs a quantitative panel data approach to examine the interplay between profitability, leverage, and firm valuation. Financial performance is proxied by Return on Assets (ROA), capital structure by Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), and firm value by Price to Book Value (PBV). Advanced panel regression techniques are utilized to capture both direct and moderating effects. Findings—The findings demonstrate that financial performance exerts a strong and statistically significant positive influence on firm value, underscoring its role as a credible signal of managerial efficiency and future growth prospects. In contrast, capital structure shows a negative yet statistically insignificant relationship, indicating that the market does not consistently price leverage. Notably, managerial ownership fails to moderate these relationships, suggesting that ownership alignment alone is insufficient to effectively resolve agency conflicts or enhance valuation outcomes. Originality/value—This study challenges the conventional governance assumption that managerial ownership universally strengthens firm value. By revealing its limited moderating role, the study provides a refined perspective on the boundaries of agency alignment mechanisms. It highlights the contextual limitations of internal governance structures in shaping market perceptions. Implications—The results emphasize the importance of strengthening fundamental performance indicators and credible signaling mechanisms rather than relying on ownership structures. Firms and policymakers should prioritize transparency, efficiency, and broader governance quality to sustain firm value and investor confidence.