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All Journal Jurnal Ketenagakerjaan Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Barsua, Ni Putu Esti Utami
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

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Intergenerational Analysis of Educated Unemployment Duration in East Java: A Multilevel Survival Approach Toward School-to-Work Transition Policies Barsua, Ni Putu Esti Utami; I Ketut Adi Chandra Wiguna; Ikhlasul A’mal; Muhammad Dokhi
Jurnal Ketenagakerjaan Vol 20 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Pusat Pengembangan Kebijakan Ketenagakerjaan Kementerian Ketenagakerjaan Republik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47198/jnaker.v20i2.580

Abstract

Educated unemployment, particularly among Generation Z (Gen Z), poses a major challenge to inclusive and sustainable labor market development. East Java, as a province with a large population and a high proportion of young people, exhibits a pronounced trend of unemployment among Gen Z in both rate and duration. This study employs a multilevel survival analysis using the 2023 National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas) to compare the unemployment duration between Gen Z and Gen XY (a combination of Generations X and Y) and to identify the factors influencing it. The results reveal that Gen Z experiences longer unemployment durations and responds less effectively to formal interventions such as job training and the Prakerja program. Conversely, factors such as age, marital status, and education level significantly affect both groups. Income inequality, measured by the gini ratio, tends to prolong unemployment, while dynamic labor market conditions—reflected in higher labor force participation rates and regional GDP—help accelerate the transition to employment. Based on these findings, this study proposes the JAWARA KERJA program (East Java Initiative for Labor Market Access and Resilience), which emphasizes adaptive training for Gen Z, skill enhancement for Gen XY, and integration of labor market information systems. This program is expected to serve as a targeted and responsive policy for improving the school-to-work transition and addressing intergenerational disparities in the regional labor market.
Analisis Pengaruh Faktor Ekonomi terhadap Utang Luar Negeri di Tujuh Negara ASEAN Tahun 1999-2023 Barsua, Ni Putu Esti Utami; Ramadhani, Anindita Ayu; Ashari, Bagas; Iqbal, Naufal Muhammad; Yuliana, Rita
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2025 No 1 (2025): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2025
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2025i1.2448

Abstract

The debt-to-GDP ratio in seven ASEAN countries indicates moderate to high levels, accompanied by fiscal pressures due to exchange rate fluctuations and dependence on external financing. This condition reflects serious challenges in managing external debt that may affect regional economic stability. This study analyzes the influence of macroeconomic factors on external debt in seven ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam) over the period 1999–2023. Using panel data regression with the Fixed Effects Model (FEM) and Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) estimation, the results show that GDP per capita and foreign direct investment (FDI) have significant negative effects, while the labor force participation rate (LFPR) and inflation have positive effects. Higher economic welfare and FDI flows reduce debt dependency, while high inflation and labor market imbalance encourage external borrowing. The findings underscore the urgency of prudent macroeconomic policy and sustainable fiscal strategies to ensure long-term regional stability.
Co-Authors Ashari, Bagas I Ketut Adi Chandra Wiguna Ikhlasul A’mal Iqbal, Naufal Muhammad Muhammad Dokhi Ramadhani, Anindita Ayu Rita Yuliana