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All Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal
Cut Putri Mellitha Sari
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Library & Information Science

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ANALISIS DAMPAK PERUBAHAN IKLIM DAN LUAS LAHAN TERHADAP JUMLAH PRODUKSI PADI DI INDONESIA Sahta Valentina Banurea; Cut Putri Mellitha Sari; Asnawi; Umaruddin Usman
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v8i2.24691

Abstract

Rice production in Indonesia is increasingly threatened by climate change and the reduction of rice field area, while rice remains the main commodity for national food security. This study aims to analyze the effect of temperature, as an indicator of climate change, and rice field area on rice production in Indonesia. The data used are annual time series for the period 2005–2024, obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistic s (BPS) and the Ministry of Agriculture. The research method employed is multiple linear regression, with classical assumption tests, t-tests, and F-tests. The results show that temperature has a significant negative effect on rice production, while rice field area has a significant positive impact. Simultaneously, both variables are shown to influence rice production in Indonesia significantly. These findings indicate that rising temperatures reduce rice productivity, whereas increased agricultural land availability increases output. The implication is that adaptation policies to climate change and the protection of sustainable agricultural land should be prioritised to ensure national food security.
Co-Authors ASNAWI Sahta Valentina Banurea Umaruddin Usman