Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Matematika Sains: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika
Darmawan, Dery
Unknown Affiliation
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics Other

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
ANALISIS STATISTIK ANGKA PERCERAIAN DI KABUPATEN BEKASI TAHUN 2025 MENGGUNAKAN METODE ARIMA Darmawan, Dery; Saputra, Andri; Mirtawati, Mirtawati
Matematika Sains Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Matematika Sains Volume 3 Nomor 2 Tahun 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Sains Dan Teknologi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34005/ms.v3i2.5406

Abstract

Divorce cases in Bekasi Regency have shown an increasing trend in recent years. Contributing factors include economic pressure, poor communication, and the influence of social media. This study aims to forecast the divorce rate in Bekasi Regency using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. The data used are monthly divorce rates from January 2020 to May 2025. The analysis shows that the best model is ARIMA (1,0,6), selected based on the smallest AIC and SC values ​​and passing diagnostic tests (autocorrelation, normality, and stability). The forecasting accuracy rate is 22.96%, which can be categorized as quite good. Based on this model, the ARIMA (1,0,6) model is suitable for predicting divorce rates and can serve as an initial reference for policymakers.
Co-Authors Andri Saputra mirtawati, mirtawati