UGUZ, Harun
Prof. Dr. Ismail SARITAS

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Estimation of Turkey Electric Energy Demand until Year 2035 Using TLBO Algorithm TEFEK, Mehmet Fatih; UGUZ, Harun
International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering 2016: Special Issue
Publisher : Prof. Dr. Ismail SARITAS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18201/ijisae.266082

Abstract

In this study, the estimation of Turkey primary electric energy demand until 2035 is tried to estimate by using Teaching-Learning Based Optimization (TLBO) Algorithm. Two models are proposed which are based on economic indicators TLBO algorithm linear energy demand (TLBOEDL) and TLBO algorithm quadratic energy demand (TLBOEDQ). In both of these two models the indicators used are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population, importation and exportation. After a comparison of these two models with real values between 1979 and 2005 years, it is applied to the estimation of Turkey electric energy demand until 2035 by three different scenario. The estimation results are suitable with the estimation of Turkey total primary energy supply of 2013 Energy Report of World Energy Council Turkish National Committee (WEC-TNC ).  ÂÂ