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All Journal Mimbar Agribisnis: Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis
Najwa, Syifa Auliya
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

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Analisis Risiko Produksi dalam Usahatani Jagung dan Strategi Penanganan di Desa Ketro, Kecamatan Karangrayung, Kabupaten Grobogan Najwa, Syifa Auliya; Yuliawati, Yuliawati
Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Vol 12, No 1 (2026): Januari 2026
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/ma.v12i1.20286

Abstract

This study aims to identify sources of production risk in maize farming, analyze their probability and impact, and formulate appropriate handling strategies in Ketro Village, Karangrayung Subdistrict, Grobogan District. The research method used was descriptive-quantitative with a purposive sampling technique of 30 farmers. Data analysis used coefficient of variation (CV), Value at Risk (VaR), and Z-score, as well as risk mapping in four quadrants. Results showed that caterpillar infestation and heavy rainfall were the dominant risks, while plant diseases and drought were the risks with the greatest impact. A CV of 0.20 indicates relatively low risk in aggregate, but a 50% probability of loss indicates the need for mitigation. Strategies implemented by farmers are generally preventive, while mitigative and adaptive strategies are limited. This study recommends risk quadrant-based strategies to improve maize farming resilience.
Co-Authors Yuliawati