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All Journal Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Desimal: Jurnal Matematika
Pramono, Wahyu Joko
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Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Mathematics Social Sciences

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Prediction of Wastewater Treatment Revenue Based on Volume and Number of Transactions Using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Method Maulana, Aashif Amiruddin; Khaulasari, Hani; Novitasari, Dian Candra Rini; Pramono, Wahyu Joko
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 10 No. 3: Desember 2025
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.2025103806

Abstract

This study aims to develop a prediction model for the total Revenue value of the operational activities of the Keputih Surabaya Sewage Sludge Treatment Plant (IPLT) using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method. The data used is daily data on total transactions and total Revenue from January 2022 to April 2025. Data normalization using the Min-Max method and outlier detection and handling using the IQR and median imputation techniques are examples of preprocessing steps. The model input structure is formed by utilizing Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) analysis to ascertain the number of lags. In this study, 405 model combinations are tested with different parameters, including activation function, number of Epochs, learning rate, and ratios of training and testing data. According to the findings, the model that has the optimal parameters a training and testing data ratio of 80:20, 50 Epochs, a learning rate of 0.002, a Tanh activation function, and 100 neurons can produce predictions for total Revenue with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 18.18%. The revenue for the following six months was then forecast using this model; the highest revenue forecast was IDR 3,740,085.00, while the lowest was IDR 1,966,628.25. According to these results, LSTM can accurately forecast time series-based income fluctuations and may find use in the waste management industry's financial decision-making and strategic planning processes.
Application of Support Vector Regression (SVR) for RevenuePrediction Based on Total Transactions and Total WasteVolume Maliki, Naufal Ridho; Khaulasari, Hani; Novitasari, Dian Candra Rini; Pramono, Wahyu Joko
Desimal: Jurnal Matematika Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): Desimal: Jurnal Matematika
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24042/djm.v9i1.29190

Abstract

Reliable revenue forecasting is critical for ensuring the financial sustainability of urban sanitation infrastructure, particularly in publicly managed fecal sludge treatment systems where demand fluctuates and operational planning depends on daily service variability. However, revenue patterns in such systems are typically nonlinear, volatile, and influenced by interrelated operational factors, limiting the effectiveness of conventional linear forecasting approaches. This study develops a data-driven predictive framework using Support Vector Regression (SVR) to model daily retribution revenue at the Keputih Fecal Sludge Treatment Plant (IPLT Keputih), Surabaya. The dataset comprises 1,213 daily observations from January 2022 to April 2025, incorporating total transactions and total sludge volume as predictor variables and total revenue as the response variable. Three kernel configurations—Linear, Polynomial, and Radial Basis Function (RBF)—were systematically evaluated following Min–Max normalization and chronological training–testing separation. Model performance was assessed using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results demonstrate that the SVR model with the RBF kernel achieved the highest predictive accuracy, yielding a MAPE of 17.17%, outperforming the Linear and Polynomial kernels in capturing nonlinear revenue dynamics. Forecast projections further reveal cyclical seasonal tendencies with direct implications for operational scheduling and short-term budget allocation. By integrating machine learning–based forecasting into public sanitation revenue modeling, this study contributes to advancing data-driven financial planning strategies for sustainable urban service management.
Co-Authors Hani Khaulasari Maliki, Naufal Ridho Maulana, Aashif Amiruddin Sari, Dian Candra Rini Novita