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All Journal Journal of Education, Humaniora and Social Sciences (JEHSS) Indonesian Journal of International Relations
Feriawan, Dharma
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Health Professions Public Health Social Sciences

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The Russia–Ukraine Conflict and Its Impact on Indonesia Energy and Food Economy in 2022 Feriawan, Dharma; Maksum, Ali
Journal of Education, Humaniora and Social Sciences (JEHSS) Vol 8, No 3 (2026): Journal of Education, Humaniora and Social Sciences (JEHSS), Februari
Publisher : Mahesa Research Center

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34007/jehss.v8i3.2936

Abstract

This study examines how the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has affected Indonesia's rising costs for wheat, fertilizer, and oil. The study looks at how domestic policy responses are influenced by global disruptions using a political-economics framework. With an emphasis on oil, wheat, and fertilizer imports, financial statistics and trade data between Russia, Ukraine, and Indonesia were gathered in 2021–2022. Descriptive qualitative approaches, data-gathering techniques, and data-analysis procedures are used in the analysis.  According to the findings, the war caused a great deal of instability in the world's oil distribution, which raised Indonesian commodities prices and had a domino impact on the country's food supply chains. The conflict also impacted Indonesia's access to fertilizer raw materials from Russia, the cost of importing oil from Russia, and the purchase of wheat from Ukraine. As a result, fertilizer prices significantly increased, which in turn led necessities like wheat to rise. Overall, the study improves knowledge of how geopolitical conflicts directly affect Indonesia's economic stability through supply vulnerabilities and price escalation, and it emphasizes the need of strategic policy responses to handle external influences.
PHASED MARKET ACCLIMATIZATION AND PERIODIC ECONOMIC RESILIENCE: INDONESIA RESPONSE TO THE RUSSIA–UKRAINE WAR (2020–2025) Feriawan, Dharma; Maksum, Ali
Indonesian Journal of International Relations Vol 10 No 1 (2026): INDONESIAN JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Publisher : Indonesian Association for International Relations

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32787/ijir.v10i1.834

Abstract

This study examines Indonesia's response to external economic shocks triggered by the Russia–Ukraine War from 2020 to 2025. It follows a phased process of market acclimatization and periodic economic resilience. Grounded in the theory of economic resilience—encompassing absorptive, adaptive, and transformative capacities—and perspectives on global supply chain restructuring, the research employs a qualitative descriptive-analytical approach. The analysis utilizes secondary trade data from TradeMap and SatuData (Ministry of Trade), exchange rate statistics from Bank Indonesia, and official trade and food policy documents to trace shifts in commodity flows, import structures, and policy responses. The findings indicate a sequential trajectory of resilience. Initial financial stabilization, reflecting absorptive capacity, occurred from 2020 to 2021. This was followed by policy recalibration, demonstrated through subsidy adjustments and import diversification, which showcased adaptive capacity from 2022 to 2023. Finally, between 2024 and 2025, structural reforms in trade configuration and food diversification signified the emergence of transformative capacity. These results suggest that Indonesia's response evolved from short-term stabilization towards progressively institutionalized economic resilience
Co-Authors Ali Maksum