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All Journal NUSANTARA: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jupiter: Publikasi Ilmu Keteknikan Industri, Teknik Elektro dan Informatika
Kemal Fahrizi Azch
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Aerospace Engineering Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Social Sciences

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Analisis Probabilitas Pencapaian Target Produksi pada UMKM Menggunakan Simulasi Monte Carlo Kemal Fahrizi Azch; M. Hamdani; Kholil Abdul Kharim; Ibnu Azmi Riawan
Jupiter: Publikasi Ilmu Keteknikan Industri, Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): Januari: Jupiter: Publikasi Ilmu Keteknikan Industri, Teknik Elektro dan Inform
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Teknik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61132/jupiter.v4i1.1326

Abstract

Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) play a vital role in driving economic growth; however, their production activities frequently face uncertainty in achieving predetermined targets. Such uncertainty arises from fluctuating market demand, delays in raw material supply, labor limitations, variations in processing time, and other technical constraints. Conventional deterministic production planning methods often fail to capture these real-world risks and variations, leading to less accurate and suboptimal decisions. Therefore, a more adaptive analytical approach that incorporates probability and uncertainty is required. This study aims to analyze the probability of achieving MSME production targets using the Monte Carlo Simulation method. This method models random production conditions by generating data based on probability distributions derived from historical records. Simulations are repeated through numerous iterations to estimate possible variations in production output and measure the likelihood of meeting targets. The results indicate that Monte Carlo simulation provides more realistic and comprehensive production forecasts compared to traditional planning approaches. By understanding both the probability of success and potential risks, MSMEs can design adaptive strategies, optimize resource allocation, manage inventory more effectively, and improve overall production planning accuracy to ensure long-term business sustainability in a dynamic environment.
Karakterisasi Sifat Termal dan Mekanik Material Komposit Serat Alam sebagai Material Ramah Lingkungan Kemal Fahrizi Azch; Kholil Abdul Karim; Mhd Hamdani
Nusantara: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): Mei : NUSANTARA Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/nusantara.v6i2.8387

Abstract

Natural fiber based composite materials are increasingly being developed as an environmentally friendly alternative to synthetic fiber-based composites. This study aims to characterize the thermal and mechanical properties of natural fiber composite materials and evaluate their potential use as sustainable materials. Composites are made using natural fibers as reinforcement and a polymer matrix through a specific molding method. Mechanical property characterization includes tensile tests, flexural tests, and impact tests, while thermal property characterization is carried out using thermal analysis to determine the thermal stability of the material. The test results show that the addition of natural fibers has a significant effect on improving the mechanical properties of the composite, especially tensile strength and elastic modulus, compared to the unreinforced matrix. In addition, natural fiber composites show quite good thermal stability over a certain temperature range, making them suitable for non-structural applications. Based on these results, natural fiber composite materials have the potential to be developed as environmentally friendly materials that have competitive mechanical and thermal performance.
Co-Authors Ibnu Azmi Riawan Kholil Abdul Karim Kholil Abdul Kharim M. Hamdani Mhd Hamdani