ismail pulungan
UIN Sunan Kalijaga Yogyakarta

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The Impact of GDP, Investment, and Inflation on Poverty in ASEAN-8 Countries: A Panel Data Analysis (2010–2023) Lalu Abu Gunawan; ismail pulungan; Feri Maulana Malik
Journal of Islamic Financial Technology Vol 4, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : UIN Syekh Ali Hasan Ahmad Addary Padangsidimpuan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24952/jiftech.v4i2.17915

Abstract

This study examines the impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), investment, and inflation on poverty levels in eight ASEAN countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia—from 2010 to 2023. Despite rapid economic expansion in the region, poverty remains a persistent issue. Using panel data regression (Panel Least Squares) with 105 observations, the analysis assesses how these macroeconomic factors contribute to poverty reduction. The results show that the overall regression model is significant (Prob F-statistic = 0.000000), with an R-squared value of 0.3708, indicating that 37% of poverty variation is explained by GDP, investment, and inflation. Investment has the strongest and most significant negative effect on poverty (coefficient = –0.950933; p < 0.01), suggesting that higher investment effectively reduces poverty through job creation and productivity gains. GDP has a negative but insignificant effect (p = 0.0976), implying that economic growth alone does not automatically lower poverty without equitable distribution. Inflation shows a positive effect (coefficient = 0.747921; p = 0.0652), indicating that rising prices tend to worsen poverty by eroding purchasing power. These findings highlight the importance of promoting investment and maintaining price stability in ASEAN poverty-reduction strategies.
Influencer Marketing And E-Wom On Muslim Fashion Buying Decisions On Social-Media: An Extended Tpb Framework Ismail Pulungan; Nur Rahmi Irfaniah
At-tijaroh: Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen dan Bisnis Islam Vol 12, No 1 (2026): JUNI 2026
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Syekh Ali Hasan Ahmad Addary Padangsidimpuan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24952/tijaroh.v12i1.19506

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of influencer marketing and Electronic Word Of Mouth (e-WOM) on Muslim fashion purchase decisions on social media using the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) approach. A quantitative method was employed by distributing an online survey to 240 Muslim female respondents in Jakarta, Yogyakarta, Surabaya, and Bandung. The data were analyzed using Partial Least Squares–Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) with SmartPLS. The results indicate that influencer marketing and e-WOM have a positive and significant effect on purchase decisions of Muslim fashion on social media. In addition, attitude, subjective norm, and perceived behavioral control also significantly influence purchase decisions. Purchase intention is proven to act as a mediating variable that strengthens the relationship between digital marketing variables and purchase decisions. These findings suggest that Muslim fashion purchase decisions on social media are influenced by both digital marketing factors and consumers’ psychological considerations. This study applies an extended TPB framework by incorporating influencer marketing and e-WOM as external antecedents of purchase intention and purchase decision in the Muslim fashion context.
The Moderating Role of Governance on the Effects of FDI, Trade Openness, Manufacturing, and Labor Force on Economic Growth: Evidence from Dynamic Panel GMM in Middle-Income Asian Countries Ferri Alfadri; Ismail Pulungan; Rizki Mulia Lubis
IQTISHADIA Vol 19, No 1 (2026): IQTISHADIA
Publisher : Ekonomi Syariah IAIN Kudus

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21043/iqtishadia.v19i1.35850

Abstract

This study empirically examines the effects of manufacturing, foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, and the labor force on economic growth in middle-income Asian countries during 2004–2024, with governance serving as a moderating variable. Using a dynamic panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach complemented by Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA), the findings reveal that manufacturing, FDI, and trade openness do not exhibit statistically significant direct effects on economic growth, while labor force growth shows a negative and significant impact, indicating structural inefficiencies and productivity constraints. The results further demonstrate that governance plays a crucial conditioning role in shaping the effectiveness of economic activities, suggesting that economic growth drivers can contribute to growth only when supported by strong institutional frameworks. From an Islamic economics perspective, these findings highlight that economic growth cannot be achieved solely through the expansion of production inputs or capital inflows, but must be embedded within governance structures that uphold justice (‘adl), trust (amanah), and public welfare (maslahah), in line with maqasid al-shariah. The study contributes to the Islamic economics literature by reinterpreting conventional growth determinants through a maqasid-oriented governance framework, emphasizing governance's central role in promoting inclusive and sustainable economic growth in middle-income Asian countries.