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MENGUJI HIPOTESIS KUZNET DI AMERIKA SERIKAT MELALUI PDB PER KAPITA DAN KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN Lifriyadi Lifriyadi; Restiatun Restiatun; Yarlina Yacoub; Erni Panca Kurniasih
Jurnal Ekonomi, Akutansi dan Manajemen Nusantara Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): Edisi Januari - April
Publisher : Utiliti Project Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55338/jeama.v4i3.569

Abstract

Penelitian ini menguji hipotesis Kuznets di Amerika Serikat dengan menganalisis hubungan antara Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) per kapita dan ketimpangan pendapatan yang diukur menggunakan Indeks Gini. Data yang digunakan berupa data tahunan periode 1963–2022 yang bersumber dari World Bank. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan regresi linier sederhana dengan Indeks Gini sebagai variabel dependen dan logaritma PDB per kapita sebagai variabel independen. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa PDB per kapita berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap ketimpangan pendapatan dengan nilai R² sebesar 0,672859, yang berarti 67,29% variasi Indeks Gini dapat dijelaskan oleh perubahan PDB per kapita, sedangkan sisanya dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar model. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa peningkatan PDB per kapita selama periode pengamatan cenderung disertai peningkatan ketimpangan pendapatan. Dengan demikian, pola empiris yang diamati mendukung keberlakuan kurva U-terbalik Kuznets dalam konteks perekonomian Amerika Serikat.
Determinants of Poverty in Indonesia: A Recursive Equation Approach Lifriyadi Lifriyadi; Restiatun Restiatun; Yarlina Yacoub
Jurnal Kawistara Vol 16, No 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/kawistara.115303

Abstract

Despite continuous improvements in the Human Development Index (HDI), Indonesia’s poverty rate remained relatively high at 8.57 percent in 2024, indicating persistent structural challenges. This indicates a critical gap in variables determining poverty in Indonesia. This study aims to analyse the determinants of poverty across Indonesian provinces by examining both indirect and direct transmission mechanisms. The study employs a quantitative explanatory design using a two stage recursive panel data model that integrates regional financial effectiveness, regional financial efficiency, provincial minimum wages, HDI, and domestic investment. Secondary data are obtained from the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance (DJPK), Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia, and Statistics Indonesia (BPS), covering 34 provinces over the 2018 to 2024 period with 238 observations. A balanced panel dataset is estimated using panel data techniques, and the Fixed Effects model is selected based on the Hausman test. The results show that regional financial effectiveness and provincial minimum wages positively affect HDI, while fiscal inefficiency reduces human development. HDI significantly reduces poverty, confirming its mediating role, whereas domestic investment has a direct negative effect on poverty. These findings highlight the importance of coordinated fiscal and investment policies to accelerate poverty reduction
Determinants of Poverty in Indonesia: A Recursive Equation Approach Lifriyadi Lifriyadi; Restiatun Restiatun; Yarlina Yacoub
Jurnal Kawistara Vol 16, No 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/kawistara.115303

Abstract

Despite continuous improvements in the Human Development Index (HDI), Indonesia’s poverty rate remained relatively high at 8.57 percent in 2024, indicating persistent structural challenges. This indicates a critical gap in variables determining poverty in Indonesia. This study aims to analyse the determinants of poverty across Indonesian provinces by examining both indirect and direct transmission mechanisms. The study employs a quantitative explanatory design using a two stage recursive panel data model that integrates regional financial effectiveness, regional financial efficiency, provincial minimum wages, HDI, and domestic investment. Secondary data are obtained from the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance (DJPK), Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia, and Statistics Indonesia (BPS), covering 34 provinces over the 2018 to 2024 period with 238 observations. A balanced panel dataset is estimated using panel data techniques, and the Fixed Effects model is selected based on the Hausman test. The results show that regional financial effectiveness and provincial minimum wages positively affect HDI, while fiscal inefficiency reduces human development. HDI significantly reduces poverty, confirming its mediating role, whereas domestic investment has a direct negative effect on poverty. These findings highlight the importance of coordinated fiscal and investment policies to accelerate poverty reduction