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Pengaruh DAK, DAU, PAD, DBH, UMR & Angkatan Kerja Terhadap Belanja Modal Di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Lusmino Basia; Afriyanti Afriyanti; Mahrus Lutfi Adi Kurniawan
Jurnal Ilmiah Raflesia Akuntansi Vol. 11 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ilmiah Raflesia Akuntansi
Publisher : Politeknik Raflesia Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53494/jira.v11i1.883

Abstract

— This study aims to analyze the effect of Special Allocation Fund (DAK), General Allocation Fund (DAU), Regional Original Income (PAD), Revenue Sharing Fund (DBH), Regional Minimum Wage (UMR), and Labor Force on Capital Expenditure in Central Java Province during the period 2016-2021. The main focus of this study is to evaluate how these variables affect the allocation and use of Capital Expenditure which in turn has the potential to increase the capacity and quality of regional infrastructure and support economic growth. Based on the results of the analysis, there is a significant negative effect of the variables GDP-1, GDP-2, and GDP-3 on economic growth in the short term. Direct investment has an insignificant effect on GDP in the short term. Although investment is important, the risks associated with investment, such as market risk, liquidation, interest rates, and politics, can negatively affect investment returns if not managed properly. Remittances show a significant effect on GDP in the short and long term. Remittances can increase people's income, especially for migrant worker families, which in turn can reduce poverty. However, if not managed properly, remittances can also have a negative impact. Interest rates do not show a significant impact on GDP in the short term, high interest rates can dampen consumption as borrowing becomes more expensive, which can negatively affect the economy.
Analisis Pengaruh Jumlah Uang Beredar Terhadap Petumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Exsan Landung Panggalih; Lusmino Basia
Socius: Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial Vol 3, No 12 (2026): July 2026
Publisher : Penerbit Yayasan Daarul Huda Kruengmane

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21391084

Abstract

Economic growth is a problem in the short-term economy and long term and is influenced by various factors. This research was conducted to analyze the effect of money supply, exchange rates, investment and interest rates on economic growth in Indonesia. on economic growth in Indonesia. In this study using the method ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) analysis method. For the purpose of analysis used secondary data For the purpose of analysis used secondary data (time series) with vulnerable time 1990 -2023 includes data on economic growth, money supply, exchange rate / exchange rate, and interest rates on economic growth. economic growth, money supply exchange rate / exchange rate, investment and interest rates. Based on data processing, it is obtained that the money supply and exchange rates, and interest rates in the short term have a positive influence on economic growth. interest rates in the short term have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while investment in the short term has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. economic growth, while investment in the short term has a negative and significant effect on economic growth. negative and significant, but in the long run the money supply and interest rates have a significant negative effect, and the value of investment in the short term has a significant negative effect. interest rates have a significant negative effect, and exchange rates and investment have a significant positive effect on economic growth. significant positive effect on Indonesia's economic growth in 1990-2023.