Ni Ketut Budiningsih
Faculty of Economics and Business, Udayana University

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THE EFFECT OF DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATE, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) AND CREDIT INTEREST RATES ON INDONESIAN FURNITURE EXPORT VOLUME Ni Gede Ayu Puspita Dewi; Ni Ketut Budiningsih
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOCIETY REVIEWS Vol. 3 No. 7 (2026): INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOCIETY REVIEWS (INJOSER)
Publisher : Adisam Publisher

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Abstract

International trade occurs in all countries to increase the economic growth of a country including Indonesia. Indonesia's largest exports are in the non-oil and gas sector, especially the processing industry. One of the exports that utilizes natural resources to be processed and then traded is the furniture industry export, although the total furniture exports are not higher than other processing industry sectors, the furniture industry has great potential in the future. Furniture exports are one of the important sectors in the Indonesian economy, which contributes significantly to state revenue and job creation. The purpose of this study is toTo analyze the influence of the Dollar exchange rate, GDP and Credit Interest Rates in the long term and short term on the volume of furniture exports in Indonesia. This study uses quantitative data with a time span of 30 years, namely from 1994-2023 using the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis method. The results of this study indicate that the Dollar exchange rate variable in the long term has a positive and significant effect on the volume of furniture exports in Indonesia, while in the short term it has a positive and insignificant effect on the volume of furniture exports in Indonesia. The GDP variable in the long term has a negative and significant effect on the volume of furniture exports in Indonesia, while in the short term it has a positive and significant effect on the volume of furniture exports in Indonesia. The Credit Interest Rate variable in the long term and short term has a negative and significant effect on the volume of furniture exports in Indonesia.
ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE, INFLATION RATE, AND INTEREST RATE ON INDONESIA'S TEXTILE EXPORT VOLUME TO THE UNITED STATES I Putu Gede Okan Bhaskara Muryananda; Ni Ketut Budiningsih
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE Vol. 2 No. 11 (2025): AUGUST
Publisher : Adisam Publisher

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of the exchange rate, inflation rate, and interest rate on Indonesia's textile export volume to the United States during the quarterly period from 2015 to 2024. The selection of variables is based on the significant role of macroeconomic factors in national export performance, particularly in the textile sector, which is one of Indonesia's leading non-oil and gas export commodities. The analytical method employed is multiple linear regression to test the relationship between these variables and textile export volume. The findings reveal that the exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on Indonesia's textile exports to the United States, indicating that rupiah depreciation encourages textile export growth. Inflation shows a positive but statistically insignificant effect, suggesting that domestic price increases do not have a strong statistical impact on exports. Meanwhile, the interest rate has a negative and significant effect, indicating that rising interest rates can hinder export activity by increasing business financing costs.