Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 3 No 5 (2019): Mei 2019

Prediksi Harga Saham menggunakan Metode Backpropagation dengan Optimasi Ant Colony Optimization

David Bernhard (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Muhammad Tanzil Furqon (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Muh. Arif Rahman (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Jun 2019

Abstract

Stocks are a sign of a person's or party's investment contribution to a company or limited liability company. Movement of stock prices affects the profits and losses that will be obtained by the investor. The obstacle is stock prices can change in every minute on weekdays. It takes a method that is able to predict stock prices accurately and consistently, so that it can minimize the risk of stock investment. Besides its advantages, BPNN has shortcoming, such as slow convergence time, easy convergence to local minimum points, and poor generalization capabilities. ACO has advantages in distributed computing, positive feedback, and metaheuristic properties that can improve the weaknesses of BPNN. This study uses time series data from the stock price of Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. period 1 January 2018 until 31 December 2018. ACO serves to optimize the value combination of learning rate, momentum, and number of hidden nodes for BPNN training phase. Best combination of ACO parameter values was obtained, namely the ant cycle constant worth 0.8, the control constant of pheromone intensity worth 0.1, the visibility control constant worth 0.1, the local pheromone evaporation constant worth 0.5, global pheromone evaporation constant worth 0.1, number of ants 5, and number of iterations 7. That combination produces an average of MAPE 1.745, while BPNN only reached 3.024.

Copyrights © 2019






Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...