Jurnal Pemikiran dan Penelitian Pendidikan Matematika (JP3M)
Vol. 2 No.1, Mei 2019

Peramalan Data Penduduk Miskin Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Barat (NTB) Model Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)

Mizan, Samsul (Unknown)
Pelangi R, Baiq Dewi (Unknown)
Suriani, Novia (Unknown)
Muhaimin, Rizal (Unknown)
Laili, Nihajatul (Unknown)
Ernita, Weni (Unknown)

Article Info

Publish Date
06 May 2019

Abstract

This study aims to predict the number of poor people in West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) in 2019. Data used as many as 17 years and processed with a computer program Eviews to see the pattern and results in the auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. This modeling phase starts from testing data stationarity, model identification, model estimation, model verification, and forecasting. Based on the results of this study, the prediction of the number of poor people in 2019 was 684,158 people. with MAD error parameters of 30.507,5625, MSE of 1.989.563.779, and MAPE of 3%.

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Journal Info
Jurnal Pemikiran dan Penelitian Pendidikan Matematika (JP3M)
Website

Abbrev

jp3m

Publisher

Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Rekarta

Subject

Education Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Pemikiran dan Penelitian Pendidikan Matematika (JP3M) adalah salah satu jurnal yang dikelola oleh Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Rekarta Mataram. JP3M terbit dua kali setahun yakni bulan Mei dan Nopember dengan ISSN 2622-8246 (Cetak) dan ISSN 2622-7673 (Online). Adapun cakupan publikasi ...