BERKALA FISIKA
Vol 15, No 3 (2012): Berkala Fisika

MODEL ARIMA UNTUK PREDIKSI CURAH HUJAN STUDI KASUS SEMARANG JATENG

A Rofik, Muchammad (Unknown)
Gernowo, Rahmat (Unknown)
Setyawan, Agus (Unknown)
Nursamsiah, Nursamsiah (Unknown)

Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jul 2012

Abstract

Modeling and prediction of rainfall in 2010 in Central Java BMKG Climatological Station has been done with ARIMA approach. The goal is to determine the historical pattern of the dataand then extrapolates this pattern into the future based on the assumption of continuity. Rainfalldata of 2000-2009 is a time series that can be predicted into the future using ARIMA. In thisstudy using two approaches for prediction of rainfall in 2010. The results were correlated with aprediction of rainfall data observed in 2010. Obtained a correlation of 71.1% and 75.48%.Keywords: ARIMA, rainfall, predictions, models

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Journal Info
BERKALA FISIKA
Website

Abbrev

berkala_fisika

Publisher

Universitas Diponegoro

Subject

Physics

Description

BERKALA FISIKA adalah jurnal saintifik yang diterbitkan secara periodik 3 bulanan. Jurnal ini memuat kajian-kajian Fisika baik kajian teoretik maupun hasil eksperimen. Jurnal ini juga memberi ruang yang luas bagi kajian – kajian aplikasi fisika dalam bidang teknologi, ilmu-ilmu hayati dan ...