Techno Nusa Mandiri : Journal of Computing and Information Technology
Vol 17 No 1 (2020): Techno Nusa Mandiri : Journal of Computing and Information Technology Period of

DATA MINING FOR PREDICTING THE AMOUNT OF COFFEE PRODUCTION USING CRISP-DM METHOD

Ali Khumaidi (Universitas Krisnadwipayana, Jakarta, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Feb 2020

Abstract

The production of coffee plantations has become the leading plantation commodity with the export value of the fourth rank after oil palm, rubber and coconut. The number of coffee needs for export every year always increases, therefore it is necessary to predict the yield of coffee plants to estimate planting and anticipation that will be done so as to achieve the target. Coffee plant productivity is influenced by internal and external factors, namely the quality of the plant itself, soil, altitude and climate. The method used in this study is the CRISP-DM method and multiple linear regression algorithm to predict the amount of coffee production and determine the relationship between the variables. The steps taken are business understanding, data understanding, data preparation, modeling and evaluation. The data set that is used as many as 170 data after going through the data preparation stage produced 150 data with 5 attributes in the table. With calculations using tools, the coefficient of determination is 91.96%. That the variation in the value of the production of coffee plants is influenced by independent variables, namely the area of ​​plantations, rainfall, air pressure and solar radiation by 91.96% and 8.04% influenced by other variables not measured in this study. The results of the evaluation and validation of predictions produce good accuracy with an RMSE value of 0.3477.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

techno

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal TECHNO Nusa Mandiri, merupakan Jurnal yang diterbitkan oleh Pusat Penelitian Pengabdian Masyarakat (PPPM) STMIK Nusa Mandiri Jakarta. Jurnal TECHNO Nusa Mandiri, berawal diperuntukan menampung paper-paper ilmiah yang dibuat oleh dosen-dosen program studi Teknik ...