Knowledge Engineering and Data Science
Vol 3, No 1 (2020)

Earthquake Magnitude and Grid-Based Location Prediction using Backpropagation Neural Network

Bagus Priambodo (Brawijaya University)
Wayan Firdaus Mahmudy (Brawijaya University)
Muh Arif Rahman (Brawijaya University)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2020

Abstract

Earthquakes, a type of inevitable natural disaster, is responsible for the highest average death toll per year compared to other types of a natural disaster. Even though it is inevitable, but it can be anticipated to minimize damage and casualties, such as predicting the earthquake‘s magnitude using a neural network. In this study, a backpropagation algorithm is used to train the multilayer neural network to weekly predict the average magnitude of earthquakes in grid-based locations in Indonesia. Based on the findings in this research, the neural network is able to predict the magnitude of earthquakes in grid-based locations across Indonesia with a minimum error rate of 0.094 in 34.475 seconds. This best result is achieved when the neural network is trained for 210 epochs, with 16 neurons used in the input and output layer, one hidden layer consisted of 5 neurons and a learning rate of 0.1. This result showed backpropagation has pretty good generalization capability in order to map the relations between variables when mathematical function is not explicitly available.

Copyrights © 2020






Journal Info

Abbrev

keds

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science (2597-4637), KEDS, brings together researchers, industry practitioners, and potential users, to promote collaborations, exchange ideas and practices, discuss new opportunities, and investigate analytics frameworks on data-driven and knowledge base ...