E-Jurnal Matematika
Vol 5 No 4 (2016)

MENENTUKAN HARGA KONTRAK BERJANGKA KOMODITAS KEDELAI MENGGUNAKAN MODEL MEAN REVERSION

WIRYA SEDANA (Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University)
KOMANG DHARMAWAN (Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University)
NI MADE ASIH (Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Nov 2016

Abstract

It has been discussed in many literatures that commodity prices tend to follow mean reversion model. This means that when there is a jump price in certain time, the price will revert to the mean price in the future. In this research, the method to determine the existence of mean-reversion of soybean price dynamics is discussed. Then, the future contract of soybeans is calculated using mean-reversion simulation and the spot-future parity theorem. Both methods are applied to the closing price of soybeans for the period of 19 September 2011 to 28 April 2016. The results show that the future contract price calculated by Model Mean-Reversion simulation under estimate the future contract price determined by the spot-future parity theorem.

Copyrights © 2016






Journal Info

Abbrev

mtk

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

E-Jurnal Matematika merupakan salah satu jurnal elektronik yang ada di Universitas Udayana, sebagai media komunikasi antar peminat di bidang ilmu matematika dan terapannya, seperti statistika, matematika finansial, pengajaran matematika dan terapan matematika dibidang ilmu lainnya. Jurnal ini lahir ...