Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Vol 21, No 2 (2020): JEP 2020

Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility to Stocks’ Return in Indonesia: The Augmented Markov-Switching Egarch Approach

Wasiaturrahma, Wasiaturrahma (Unknown)
Putri, Dita Normalaksana (Unknown)
Ajija, Shochrul Rohmatul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2020

Abstract

The stock price is one indicator that represents the economic performance in a country. Changes in stock prices, including various factors, as an example, is the exchange rate changes as the representation from the foreign exchange market. The fluctuating exchange rate price also influences the volatility of the stock price. Furthermore, volatility has different high and low regime stages that will cause a disparate impact on the outcome of the relationship changes. This study aims to examine the presence of asymmetric volatility and its effects on the volatility of LQ45 stock returns, as well as the changes in exchange rates of Rupiah against USD from 1997 to 2017. Using the Augmented Markov Switching EGARCH  approach,  the  results  of  this  study  indicate  an  asymmetric  behavior  in  the  volatility  of LQ45 stock returns. High volatility regimes are more dependent and more unstable than low volatility regimes, and low volatility regimes dominate the duration compared to the high volatility regime. The good and bad news give different impact on LQ45 stock return volatility and exchange rate changes. Moreover, the unstable economies will respond faster than the stable economies in terms of facing the exchange rate changes.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JEP

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan is a scientific journal that contains the results of theoretical research and studies on economic and development issues. Managed by Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Muhammadiyah ...