Bisma: Jurnal Bisnis dan Manajemen
Vol 14 No 2 (2020)

PERAMALAN KINERJA PERUSAHAAN PERBANKAN TAHUN 2017 YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA DENGAN METODE ARCH-GARCH

Wijaya, John Henry (Unknown)
Nugraha, Nugi Mohammad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jul 2020

Abstract

This study aims to determine how the forecasting of banking stock performance in 2017 is measured weekly using the ARCH-GARCH method. There were 43 registered banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, but only 39 companies used as the research sample based on data completeness. The ARCH-GARCH method was used in the forecasting process. Results showed that the value of the mean absolute per cent error was 8.52% or below 10%. Therefore, the ARCH-GARCH method was quite good at predicting the performance of the banking sector. With a high level of complexity, the ARCH-GARCH method could provide a more realistic description than other methods to help investors make decisions. The banking sector tends to experience a downturn. Thus, it would be better for investors to hold back the intention to invest in banking stocks unless they are the risk-takers. Keywords: ARCH-GARCH, banking sector, stock performance

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Journal Info

Abbrev

BISMA

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Other

Description

Bisma terbit secara berkala pada bulan Januari, Mei dan September dengan ISSN 1978-3108 (print), bertujuan untuk menyebarluaskan artikel hasil riset, hasil pemikiran (telaah analitis-kritis) dan artikel ulasan atas artikel yang pernah dipublikasikan dalam bidang bisnis dan manajemen. Bisma menerima ...