Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 4 No 9 (2020): September 2020

Peramalan Indeks Harga Konsumen Indonesia menggunakan Metode Jaringan Saraf Tiruan Backpropagation

Elan Putra Madani (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Muhammad Tanzil Furqon (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Nurul Hidayat (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Aug 2020

Abstract

One of the focus of the government in the 2020 macroeconomic strategy is the realization of controlled inflation, an indicator often used to measure inflation, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The movement of prices of goods and services consumed by the public causes changes in the value of the CPI, when unstable price movements can cause inflation. Forecasting is used to help policy makers to be taken into consideration in order to avoid inflation instability. This research used IHK as data inputs which will be formed the pattern then did data normalization process and processed using Backpropagation Neural Network method for the forecasting of CPI, return value with data denormalization and lastly using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for evaluation of forecasting results. The smallest MAPE value obtained from this research is 0.463% with the value of neuron input = 6, hidden neuron value = 10, initial weight range value in the range -1 to 1, learning rate value = 0.1, and epoch value = 5000

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Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...