Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Vol. 5 No. 3 (2021): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi

ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA

Norita Fitria (Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang)
Aris Soelistyo (University of Muhammadiyah Malang)
Dwi Susilowati (University of Muhammadiyah Malang)



Article Info

Publish Date
22 Sep 2021

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze what factors affect foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. The focus in this study is the variables that affect changes in foreign exchange reserves in the 1999-2019 period are non-oil and gas exports, the rupiah exchange rate, foreign debt and inflation as independent variables. Using an open economy model and Keynes's balance of payments, the analytical tools used in this study are the PAM regression model (Partial Adjustment Model) and the adaptive expectation model to see the long-term and short-term effects of the independent variable on the dependent variable. The results of this study show that simultaneously non-oil and gas exports, the rupiah exchange rate, foreign debt and inflation affect Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, while partially non-oil exports and the rupiah exchange rate significantly and positively affect Indonesia's long-term and short-term foreign exchange reserves, while debt foreign exchange and inflation are not  significant and negatively affect long-term and short-term foreign exchange reserves. Non-oil exports, rupiah exchange rate, foreign debt and inflation can explain Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves of 97%, of which the remaining 3% is explained by other variables not included in this study.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jie

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, aims to bridge the gap between research and practice, providing information, ideas and opinion, in addition to critical examinations of advances in economic research. Through the coverage of policy and economic developments, the latest results of research into the assessment of ...