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A SYNTHESIS KEYNES-MONETARIST AND REAL BUSINESS CYCLE MODEL TO INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN INDONESIA 2000.1-2014.4 Soelistyo, Aris
Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics Vol 1, No 01 (2017): Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang

This research is addressed for the construction of Synthesis between Keynesian, Monetarist and Real Business Cycle Model to the inflation and unemployment Data is used quarterly data 2000.1 - 2014.4, The result of this research with the Keynesian model is the aggregate demand gap has no significance effect to inflation rate and the unemployment rate. But when model of variable input mount the unemployment, exchange rate, wage and the aggregate demand gap of hence yielding elastic inflation elasticity finding of positive of equal to 2,48 to the unemployment rate, and the inflation elasticity to foreign exchange is inelastic positive significance of equal to 0,88. As for the influence of wages to inflation is significantly negative elastic of equal to – 1,89. Besides, in model is also shown by condition of significance of influence of variable of aggregate demand gap to inflation of equal to 0.31. Meanwhile, Inflation in perspective monetarist viewed as by a monetary phenomenon, where the inflation influenced by money supply of equal to 1.858. Besides, Monetarist also express of relation significance of between GDP summed ugly is money supply is inelastic positive significance of equal to 0.1247. The RBC Model shows that the investment elasticity to output is significance inelastic positive equal to 0.405467, that way also with the influence of the population to GDP is significance negative equal to - 1.259925 . The other side, is founded by of Unemployment elasticity to wage rate is significance positive of equal to 0.413. Meanwhile, with the model of synthesis Keynes-Monetarist and RBC lay open that output (GDP) is influenced by the positive significance of equal to 0.206026 . The synthesis model is also expressed by that governmental fiscal governmental expenditure as a means of shows influence which significant to unemployment equal to 0.149. While component amount of money supply, affecting negativity significance to unemployment of equal to 0.55887.

MODEL STATIS DAN DINAMIS DAMPAK INFLASI GLOBAL TERHADAP MAKROEKONOMI INDONESIA Soelistyo, Aris
Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics Vol 3, No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang

The aim of this research is to analyse the effect of global inflation to macroeconomic in Indonesia. ARCH model used to analyse the influence of global inflation to macroenomic. According to the result analysis reveals that; first, based on the ARCH approach and market equilibrium global inflation have negative influence to GDP. Second, based on the goods and money market equilibrium, global inflation has positive influence to GDP. Third, global inflation in static inflation models has siginificant influence to domestic inflation. It’s little bit small than in dinamic inflation models. Fourth, ecxhange currency rate has positive significant influnced to export magnitude

PENGARUH UPAH MINIMUM DAN DISITRIBUSI PENDAPATAN TERHADAP JUMLAH PENDUDUK MISKIN JAWA TIMUR Anggriawan, Satria Yuda; Soelistyo, Aris; Susilowati, Dwi
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 14, No 2 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

This study aims to determine the relationship between the minimum wage and the income distribution of the poor. This research is a quantitative research using panel data, data used in the form of time series (2010-2014) and cross-section (29 districts and 9 cities in East Java). The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Central Statistical Agency (BPS) and the journal as a supporter. The analytical method used is the linear regression analysis of data using the software toolbox used common effect EViews 6. The results showed that the number of poor people in the neighborhood / city in the East Java period 2010-2014 decreased in An average of 5,088,144, minimum wage positive and significant variable impact on poverty and income distribution and a significant positive effect on the number of poor people in the neighborhood / city in East Java province

ANALISIS FLYPAPER EFFECT PAD DAN DAU TERHADAP BELANJA DAERAH DI PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR TAHUN 2010-2014 Nabilah, Aisyah Najibah; Soelistyo, Aris; Kusuma, Hendra
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 14, No 2 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

This research purposed to know the effect of PAD and DAU toward regional expenditure in the country /city in East Kalimantan province and to know whether flypaper occur in the country/City of East Kalimantan Province in the 2010-2014.The instrument used in this research was the analysis of data panel regression. The results of this research showed that the local revenue (PAD) and (DAU) was took effect regional expenditure significantly. PAD took effect DAU toward regional expenditure, but DAU did not affect significant toward regional expenditure. During the period of this research did not happen flypaper in country/cityinthe ProvinceofEastKalimantan.ANALISIS FLYPAPER EFFECT PAD DAN DAU TERHADAP BELANJA DAERAH DI PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR TAHUN 2010-2014

PENGARUH INVESTASI, PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PDRB KABUPATEN/KOTA DI PROPINSI BANTEN TAHUN 2010-2014 Rahman, Ahmad Jazuli; Soelistyo, Aris; Hadi, Syamsul
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 14, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

The purpose of the study was to determine the effect of variable investment (domestic and foreign), Government Expenditure, Labor (Labor Force Works) for the Gross Regional Domestic Product in Banten Province. The analysis tool used regression panel data. the test results obtained deteminasi coefficient R ^ 2 for the fixed effect model of 0.9987. This showed that the ability of independent variables in explaining the dependent variable of 99.87%. The results of the research study concluded that Investment, Government Expenditures and Labor was positive and significant impact on the Gross Regional Domestic Product with the results of Statistics 3.55 F more large than F table is 2.38. While the partial test results showed that investment and government expenditure was a significant and positive effect while the labor was negative effect on the Gross Regional Domestic Product.

PENINGKATAN KEMAMPUAN WIRAUSAHA MELALUI PENDIDIKAN JAHIT DAN BORDIR PADA PANTI ASUHAN AL-HUSNA DI LANDUNGSARI KECAMATAN DAU KABUPATEN MALANG (UPGRADES ENTREPRENEURSHIP THROUGH EDUCATION SEWING AND EMBROIDERY AT ORPHANAGE AL-HUSNA IN LANDUNGSARI SUBDISTRICT DAU MALANG) Soelistyo, Aris
Studi Kasus Inovasi Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2016)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

The Qur'an insists on the importance of care for orphans, thepoor and helping others in various fields. Orphanage AlHusna Malang, the vision and mission based on concern forthe orphans and the poor. A number of programs to helporphans, orphans and dhu'afa. The program was conducted onthe educational, social and religious. Al-Husna FoundationProgram includes six courses that regular donors program,the movement of the foster parents' caring school ", theprogram waqaf" RIDHA "(orphanages and orphans alHusna), independent nursing program, Barbepa (thriftrewarding) and program TABASAM (Savings dear orphans).One effort to educate and improve the ability of residentswere largely children of school age, including the ability ofmastering techniques of sewing and embroidery techniques.Of both skill capabilities will deliver on independententrepreneurship in the perspective of the future (as abusiness opportunity) in realizing the independent nursingprogram. The community service approach or method oflecture and hands-on ability to sew in children orphanage aswell as the ability to create design patterns clothes Resultsshowed that the strong enthusiasm of the children orphanageAl-Husna Dau to gain additional expertise in the field ofsewing and to develop or establish a pattern design clothes.

PENGARUH INVESTASI, PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PDRB KABUPATEN/KOTA DI PROPINSI BANTEN TAHUN 2010-2014 Ahmad Jazuli Rahman; Aris Soelistyo; Syamsul Hadi
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 14 No. 1 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v14i1.3890

The purpose of the study was to determine the effect of variable investment (domestic and foreign), Government Expenditure, Labor (Labor Force Works) for the Gross Regional Domestic Product in Banten Province. The analysis tool used regression panel data. the test results obtained deteminasi coefficient R ^ 2 for the fixed effect model of 0.9987. This showed that the ability of independent variables in explaining the dependent variable of 99.87%. The results of the research study concluded that Investment, Government Expenditures and Labor was positive and significant impact on the Gross Regional Domestic Product with the results of Statistics 3.55 F more large than F table is 2.38. While the partial test results showed that investment and government expenditure was a significant and positive effect while the labor was negative effect on the Gross Regional Domestic Product.

PENGARUH UPAH MINIMUM DAN DISITRIBUSI PENDAPATAN TERHADAP JUMLAH PENDUDUK MISKIN JAWA TIMUR Satria Yuda Anggriawan; Aris Soelistyo; Dwi Susilowati
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 14 No. 2 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v14i2.3893

This study aims to determine the relationship between the minimum wage and the income distribution of the poor. This research is a quantitative research using panel data, data used in the form of time series (2010-2014) and cross-section (29 districts and 9 cities in East Java). The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Central Statistical Agency (BPS) and the journal as a supporter. The analytical method used is the linear regression analysis of data using the software toolbox used common effect EViews 6. The results showed that the number of poor people in the neighborhood / city in the East Java period 2010-2014 decreased in An average of 5,088,144, minimum wage positive and significant variable impact on poverty and income distribution and a significant positive effect on the number of poor people in the neighborhood / city in East Java province

ANALISIS FLYPAPER EFFECT PAD DAN DAU TERHADAP BELANJA DAERAH DI PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR TAHUN 2010-2014 Aisyah Najibah Nabilah; Aris Soelistyo; Hendra Kusuma
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 14 No. 2 (2016): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v14i2.3894

This research purposed to know the effect of PAD and DAU toward regional expenditure in the country /city in East Kalimantan province and to know whether flypaper occur in the country/City of East Kalimantan Province in the 2010-2014.The instrument used in this research was the analysis of data panel regression. The results of this research showed that the local revenue (PAD) and (DAU) was took effect regional expenditure significantly. PAD took effect DAU toward regional expenditure, but DAU did not affect significant toward regional expenditure. During the period of this research did not happen flypaper in country/cityinthe ProvinceofEastKalimantan.ANALISIS FLYPAPER EFFECT PAD DAN DAU TERHADAP BELANJA DAERAH DI PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR TAHUN 2010-2014

SUATU PENDEKATAN MONETER TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PADA PEREKONOMIAN TERBUKA KECIL DENGAN KONTROL MODAL: STUDI KASUS INDONESIA 2010.1-2014.12 Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 13 No. 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v13i2.3895

The purpose of this study is to formulate the monetary model of the economic growth in a small open economy (small open economy) with a free exchange rate system (flexible exchange rate system) and capital mobility is not perfect (imperfect capital mobility), as well as the factors that influence economic growth, exchange rates and interest rates with monetary approach (mathematically and empirically).This study uses a structural analysis approach to vector autoregresion with monthly data Indonesia in 2010-2014. The empirical results reveal that changes in the money supply is a significant negative effect on economic growth 0.1008 Indonesia. Moreover, economic growth is affected by the magnitude of the previous period of economic growth significantly by 0.391825, where the magnitude of the effect is determined by the strength of the exchange rate in response to changes in interest rates Indonesia, the greater the exchange rate response to changes in interest rates, the weakening influence of the period of economic growth prior to economic growth. For a small open economy (small open economy) with a free exchange rate system (flexible exchange rate system), then the value of the rupiah per dollar exchange rate is influenced significantly by the amount of money in circulation (0.063318), the exchange rate value of the last period (0.746), and the interest rate the previous period (0.3424), the interest rate two previous periods (-0.305848).For situations of capital mobility is not perfect, then the variable interest rate is treated as endogenous variables, the empirical results show that the level of BI rate significantly influenced only by the BI rate the previous month (1.4526) and the interest rate of the previous two months (0.524)

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