Journal of Electrical Technology UMY
Vol 1, No 3 (2017)

Implementation of Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network as a Forecasting System of Power Transformer Peak Load at Bumiayu Substation

Febrian Dhimas Syahfitra (Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta)
Ramadoni Syahputra (Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta)
Karisma Trinanda Putra (Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Dec 2017

Abstract

The National Electricity Company (PT PLN) should have an estimated peak load of the substation transformer in the future. This is useful to be able to achieve transformer capability and can be used as a first step to anticipate the possibility of replacement of a new transformer. This research presents a peak load forecasting system transformer1 and transformer2 in Bumiayu substation using Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network (ANN). This study includes the procedures for establishing a network model and manufacture forecasting system based GUI (Graphic User Interface) using MATLAB 2015a. The formation of the network model refers to input variables consisting of GRDP data, population data and historical data of peak load of transformer. In this research, a multilayer network model, which consists of 1 input layer, 2 hidden layers and 1 output layer, is used. The peak load forecasting of transformer1 produces 5.7593e-08 for training MSE and 5.3784e-04 for testing MSE. Meanwhile, forecasting the peak load transformer2 generated 3.3433e-08 for training MSE and 9,4710e-04 for testing MSE.

Copyrights © 2017






Journal Info

Abbrev

jet

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Library & Information Science

Description

The Journal of Electrical Technology UMY (JET-UMY) is a peer-reviewed journal that publishes original theoretical and applied papers on all aspects of Electrical, Electronics, and Computer ...